Narratives in the Media
Paper Session
Saturday, Jan. 6, 2024 2:30 PM - 4:30 PM (CST)
- Chair: Panu Poutvaara, University of Munich and ifo Institute
Is Propaganda Front-Page News?
Abstract
In recent decades, autocrats have shifted to less overt forms of censorship. This project studies the mechanics of subtle forms of censorship in Chinese online newspapers. Specifically, it documents how these newspapers systematically publish articles more aligned with the regime's perspective on their front-pages -- relative to other places on the website. To do so, I use data from 280,000 news articles (2020) and the individuals, organizations, geographic locations, or events mentioned therein. Based on this data, I build two text-based measures of an article's alignment with the regime's perspective. More aligned articles are more likely to feature on the front-page even when controlling for variation across days, topics, and outlets. Various checks strengthen the interpretation that subtle censorship motives (rather than market mechanisms) influence this within-outlet product differentiation.Immigrant Narratives
Abstract
Immigration is one of the most divisive political issues in many countries today. Competing narratives, circulated via the media, are crucial in shaping how immigrants’ role in society is perceived. We propose a new method combining advanced natural language processing tools with dictionaries to identify sentences containing one or more of seven immigrant narrative themes and assign a sentiment to each of these. Our narrative dataset covers 107,428 newspaper articles from 70 German newspapers over the 2000 to 2019 period. Using 16 human coders to evaluate our method, we find that it clearly outperforms simple word-matching methods and sentiment dictionaries. Empirically, culture narratives are more common than economy-related narratives. Narratives related to work and entrepreneurship are particularly positive, while foreign religion and welfare narratives tend to be negative. We use three distinct events to show how different types of shocks influence narratives, decomposing sentiment shifts into theme-composition and within-theme changes.Social Media and the Diffusion of Protest: Evidence from Black Lives Matter
Abstract
Why do some social movements expand and reach diverse populations while others stagnate? We explore this question in the context of the rapid diffusion of the Black Lives Matter movement to new counties during the COVID-19 pandemic. We show that the pandemic acted as a shock to the size and composition of social media networks and subsequently mobilized protest in new segments of society. Leveraging early super spreader events as a source of plausibly exogenous variation, we show that a one standard deviation increase in pandemic exposure (23 COVID-19 related deaths per 100K) increased the number of new Twitter accounts by 27% and protest probability by 9 percentage points in counties that had never hosted a BLM protest before, which are primarily white, affluent, and suburban counties. We also show that BLM protests are more likely to arise in places where residents increased their use of social media in response to the pandemic. Our results suggest that social media is an important engine in the diffusion of social movements to new groups.Discussant(s)
Panu Poutvaara
,
University of Munich and ifo Institute
Melanie Meng Xue
,
London School of Economics
Milena Djourelova
,
Cornell University
Vasiliki Fouka
,
Stanford University
JEL Classifications
- Z1 - Cultural Economics; Economic Sociology; Economic Anthropology
- D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making