Complex Damage Issues
Paper Session
Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM (CST)
- Chair: John O. Ward, John Ward Economics
A Path for the American Economy to Move Forward
Abstract
The modernization of U.S. antitrust laws is a necessity for the economic welfare of the United States. To protect American consumers, small businesses, and innovation online, the American Innovation and Choice Online Act, and the Open App Markets Act offer proposals to deal with possible harmful behaviors of large digital platforms. The policymakers claim they are to boost competition online, promote businesses, and empower consumers across the economy by passing these bills into law. Is there a need for more aggressive antimonopoly action?Forecasting Inflation in Components of the CPI Medical Cost Index
Abstract
A new method is proposed to project future costs for medical components of a life care plan. The technique estimates the historical link between inflation in medical components of the CPI and overall inflation. This linkage for each component can then be applied to a CPI forecast to project inflation in that underlying component. Estimates are made for 17 separate medical cost components of the CPI. Root mean square errors show that our proposed method for forecasting component inflation performs better than more commonly used forecast methods. Our method incorporates the best parts of both historical and forecasting methods; it utilizes information from the financial markets and professional surveys to form the baseline inflation forecast, then adjusts the value using historical data, thereby leveraging both expert opinion and empirical observation.Discussant(s)
Scott D. Gilbert
,
Southern Illinois University-Cabondale
Edward T. Garcia
,
Sierra Economic Consulting, LLC
Thomas` Roney
,
Thomas Roney LLC
JEL Classifications
- K3 - Other Substantive Areas of Law
- D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics