Policy during the Great Depression
Monday, Jan. 4, 2021 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM (EST)
- Chair: Chenzi Xu, Stanford University
The Great Depression as a Saving Glut
Abstract"We describe a new mechanism through which banking crises led to a fall in economic activity during the Great Depression. Based on a new international database of deposits in savings institutions and commercial banks between 1920 and 1936, we show that the banking crisis were characterized by transfers of deposits from commercial banks to non-bank institutions that collected savings but did not lend (or lent less) to the economy. This transfer from bank deposits to savings institutions dwarfed the already known increase in cash hoarding.
Using a dynamic panel setting, we show that the severity of the economic crisis depended on the magnitude of the shift from deposits towards savings institutions because these institutions did not replace banks as lenders to the economy. This disruption in the sources of credit is different from the ones highlighted in the literature (Friedman & Schwartz, Bernanke)."
The Smoot-Hawley Trade War
AbstractUsing a new quarterly dataset on bilateral trade for 99 countries during the interwar period, we provide the first empirical assessment of the effect of the trade war that erupted following the adoption of the Smoot-Hawley tariff in June 1930. Several countries protested the tariff while others went further and retaliated: US exports to these countries fell by between 12 and 22 percent. In contrast, there was no systematic impact on these countriesâ€™ exports to the US.
- N1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations
- E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit