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  4. May 2011
  5. Long-Term Consequences of Vietnam-Era Conscription: New Estimates Using Social Security Data

American Economic Review

ISSN 0002-8282 (Print) | ISSN 1944-7981 (Online)

Long-Term Consequences of Vietnam-Era Conscription: New Estimates Using Social Security Data

  • Joshua D. Angrist
  • Stacey H. Chen
  • Jae Song
American Economic Review
vol. 101, no. 3, May 2011
(pp. 334–38)
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Abstract

We use the draft lottery to construct instrumental variables (IV) estimates of the impact of Vietnam-era military service on veterans' Social Security (SSA) earnings through 2007. We also use SSA data to construct IV estimates for employment (as measured by an indicator for positive earnings) and disability status (as measured by an indicator for social security disability program application). New findings for recent years show surprisingly rapid convergence in veteran and nonveteran earnings: by the early 1990s, there was no longer a substantial Vietnam-era conscription penalty. The IV estimates also show no effect on employment or disability rates.

Citation

Angrist, Joshua D., Stacey H. Chen, and Jae Song. 2011. "Long-Term Consequences of Vietnam-Era Conscription: New Estimates Using Social Security Data." American Economic Review 101 (3): 334–38. DOI: 10.1257/aer.101.3.334

JEL Classification

  • H55 Social Security and Public Pensions
  • J14 Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-labor Market Discrimination
  • J31 Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
  • J45 Public Sector Labor Markets