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Project Citation: 

Chen, Kaiji, and Wen, Yi. Replication data for: The Great Housing Boom of China. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2017. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-12. https://doi.org/10.3886/E114102V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary China's housing prices have been growing nearly twice as fast as national income over the past decade, despite a high vacancy rate and a high rate of return to capital. This paper interprets China's housing boom as a rational bubble emerging naturally from its economic transition. The bubble arises because high capital returns driven by resource reallocation are not sustainable in the long run. Rational expectations of a strong future demand for alternative stores of value can thus induce currently productive agents to speculate in the housing market. Our model can quantitatively account for China's paradoxical housing boom.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      O16 Economic Development: Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
      O18 Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
      P24 Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: National Income, Product, and Expenditure; Money; Inflation
      P25 Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics
      R21 Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Housing Demand
      R31 Housing Supply and Markets


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