Replication data for: Escaping Malthus: Economic Growth and Fertility Change in the Developing World

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Project Citation:

Chatterjee, Shoumitro, and Vogl, Tom. Replication data for: Escaping Malthus: Economic Growth and Fertility Change in the Developing World. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2018. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-12. https://doi.org/10.3886/E113186V1

Project Description

Summary: Following mid-twentieth century predictions of Malthusian catastrophe, fertility in the developing world more than halved, while living standards more than doubled. We analyze how fertility change related to economic growth during this episode, using data on 2.3 million women from 255 household surveys. We find different responses to fluctuations and long-run growth, both heterogeneous over the life cycle. Fertility was procyclical but declined and delayed with long-run growth; fluctuations late (but not early) in the reproductive period affected lifetime fertility. The results are consistent with models of the escape from the Malthusian trap, extended with a life cycle and liquidity constraints.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:
      D15 Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
      I12 Health Behavior
      I15 Health and Economic Development
      J13 Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
      J16 Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
      O15 Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
      O47 Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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Published Versions

V1 [2019-10-12]

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DDI 2.5

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