Demographic Patterns and Household Saving in China
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
vol. 7,
no. 2, April 2015
(pp. 58-94)
Abstract
This paper studies how demographic variation affects the aggregate household saving rate. We focus on China because it is experiencing an historic demographic transition and has had a massive increase in household saving. We conduct a quantitative investigation using a structural overlapping generations model that incorporates parental care through support for dependent children and financial transfers to retirees. The saving decisions in the parameterized model mimic many of the features observed in the Chinese household saving rate time series from 1955 to 2009. Demographic change alone accounts for over half of the saving rate increase. (JEL D12, D91, E21, J11, O12, O16, P36)Citation
Curtis, Chadwick C., Steven Lugauer, and Nelson C. Mark. 2015. "Demographic Patterns and Household Saving in China." American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 7 (2): 58-94. DOI: 10.1257/mac.20130105Additional Materials
JEL Classification
- D12 Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
- D15 Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
- E21 Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
- J11 Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
- O12 Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
- O16 Economic Development: Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
- P36 Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions: Consumer Economics; Health; Education and Training: Welfare, Income, Wealth, and Poverty
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