American Economic Review: Vol. 97 No. 3 (June 2007)
Print Article Summary Export Citation
Sign up for Email Alerts Follow us on Twitter
The Timing of Monetary Policy Shocks
Olivei, Giovanni, and Silvana Tenreyro. 2007. "The Timing of Monetary Policy Shocks." American Economic Review, 97(3): 636-663.
A vast empirical literature has documented delayed and persistent effects of monetary policy shocks on output. We show that this finding results from the aggregation of output impulse responses that differ sharply depending on the timing of the shock. When the monetary policy shock takes place in the first two quarters of the year, the response of output is quick, sizable, and dies out at a relatively fast pace. In contrast, output responds very little when the shock takes place in the third or fourth quarter. We propose a potential explanation for the differential responses based on uneven staggering of wage contracts across quarters. Using a dynamic general equilibrium model, we show that a realistic amount of uneven staggering can generate differences in output responses quantitatively similar to those found in the data. (JEL E23, E24, E58, J41)
Article Full-Text Access
Download Data Set (1.11 MB)