Replication data for: The Great Diversification and Its Undoing

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Project Citation:

Carvalho, Vasco, and Gabaix, Xavier. Replication data for: The Great Diversification and Its Undoing. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2013. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-11. https://doi.org/10.3886/E112656V1

Project Description

Summary: We investigate the hypothesis that macroeconomic fluctuations are primitively the results of many microeconomic shocks. We define fundamental volatility as the volatility that would arise from an economy made entirely of idiosyncratic sectoral or firm-level shocks. Fundamental volatility accounts for the swings in macroeconomic volatility in the major world economies in the past half-century. It accounts for the "great moderation" and its undoing. The initial great moderation is due to a decreasing share of manufacturing between 1975 and 1985. The recent rise of macroeconomic volatility is chiefly due to the growth of the financial sector.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:
      E23 Macroeconomics: Production
      E32 Business Fluctuations; Cycles
      E44 Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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Published Versions

V1 [2019-10-11]

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