Replication data for: Overconfidence in Political Behavior
Principal Investigator(s): View help for Principal Investigator(s) Pietro Ortoleva; Erik Snowberg
Version: View help for Version V1
| Name | File Type | Size | Last Modified |
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| replication | 12/06/2019 04:57:PM | ||
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text/plain | 14.6 KB | 12/06/2019 11:57:AM |
Project Citation:
Ortoleva, Pietro, and Snowberg, Erik. Replication data for: Overconfidence in Political Behavior. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2015. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-12-06. https://doi.org/10.3886/E116147V1
Project Description
Summary:
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This paper studies, theoretically and empirically, the role of overconfidence in political behavior. Our model of overconfidence in
beliefs predicts that overconfidence leads to ideological extremeness,
increased voter turnout, and stronger partisan identification.
The model also makes nuanced predictions about the patterns of ideology in society. These predictions are tested using unique data that
measure the overconfidence and standard political characteristics of
a nationwide sample of over 3,000 adults. Our numerous predictions
find strong support in these data. In particular, we document that
overconfidence is a substantively and statistically important predictor
of ideological extremeness, voter turnout, and partisan identification.
(JEL C83, D03, D72, D83)
Scope of Project
JEL Classification:
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C83 Survey Methods; Sampling Methods
D91 Micro-Based Behavioral Economics: Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
D83 Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
C83 Survey Methods; Sampling Methods
D91 Micro-Based Behavioral Economics: Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
D83 Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
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