Replication data for: Trade Wars and Trade Talks with Data

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Project Citation:

Ossa, Ralph. Replication data for: Trade Wars and Trade Talks with Data. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2014. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-11. https://doi.org/10.3886/E112717V1

Project Description

Summary: How large are optimal tariffs? What tariffs would prevail in a worldwide trade war? How costly would a breakdown of international trade policy cooperation be? And what is the scope for future multilateral trade negotiations? I address these and other questions using a unified framework which nests traditional, new trade, and political economy motives for protection. I find that optimal tariffs average 62 percent, world trade war tariffs average 63 percent, the government welfare losses from a breakdown of international trade policy cooperation average 2.9 percent, and the possible government welfare gains from future multilateral trade negotiations average 0.5 percent. (JEL F12, F13, O19)

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:
      F12 Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
      F13 Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
      O19 International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations

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V1 [2019-10-11]

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