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Will US agriculture really benefit from global warming? Accounting for irrigation in the hedonic approach

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Full text - MIT Libraries
W Schlenker, WM Hanemann… - The American Economic Review, 2005 - JSTOR
US agriculture. Most of the early agroeconomic studies predicted large damages (see, for
example, Richard M. Adams, 1989; Harry M. Kaiser et al., 1993; Adams et al., 1995). In an
innovative paper Robert Mendelsohn, William D. Nordhaus and Daigee Shaw (1994), ...
Cited by 150 - Related articles - All 24 versions

[PDF] The impact of global warming on US agriculture: an econometric analysis of optimal growing conditions

[PDF] from escholarship.org
W Schlenker, WM Hanemann… - 2004 - escholarship.org
Author: Schlenker, Wolfram, University of California, San Diego Hanemann, W. Michael, University
of California, Berkeley and Giannini Foundation Fisher, Anthony C., University of California, Berkeley
and Giannini Foundation ... Publication Info: Department of Agricultural and Resource ...
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Nonlinear effects of weather on corn yields

[PDF] from usda.gov
W Schlenker… - … Economic Perspectives and …, 2006 - aepp.oxfordjournals.org
This paper examines the reduced-form relationship between weather and yields using a
unique data set of corn yields and daily weather records covering the eastern United States
for 1950–2004. Since weather variations in a fixed location are exogenous and random, ...
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Robust negative impacts of climate change on African agriculture

[PDF] from climatechangefoodsecurity.org
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W Schlenker… - Environmental Research Letters, 2010 - iopscience.iop.org
There is widespread interest in the impacts of climate change on agriculture in Sub-Saharan
Africa (SSA), and on the most effective investments to assist adaptation to these changes,
yet the scientific basis for estimating production risks and prioritizing investments has ...
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Estimating the impact of climate change on crop yields: The importance of nonlinear temperature effects

[PDF] from columbia.edu
W Schlenker… - 2008 - nber.org
The United States produces 41% of the world's corn and 38% of the world's soybeans, so
any impact on US crop yields will have implications for world food supply. We pair a panel of
county-level crop yields in the US with a fine-scale weather data set that incorporates the ...
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Consumer and market responses to mad cow disease

[PDF] from escholarship.org
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W Schlenker… - American Journal of …, 2009 - ajae.oxfordjournals.org
Abstract We examine how consumers and financial markets in the United States reacted to
two health warnings about mad cow disease: the first discovery of an infected cow in
December 2003 and an Oprah Winfrey show that aired seven years earlier on the ...
Cited by 30 - Related articles - All 22 versions

Identifying Supply and Demand Elasticities of Agricultural Commodities: Implications for the US Ethanol Mandate

[PDF] from asu.edu
MJ Roberts… - 2010 - nber.org
We present a new framework to identify demand and supply elasticities of agricultural
commodities using yield shocks-deviations from a time trend of output per area, which are
predominantly caused by weather fluctuations. Demand is identified using current-period ...
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World supply and demand of food commodity calories

Full text - MIT Libraries
MJ Roberts… - American Journal of …, 2009 - ajae.oxfordjournals.org
Between the summers of 2006 and 2008, corn prices more than tripled from roughly $2.50 per
bushel to nearly $8.00 per bushel. Prices for rice, soybeans, and wheat rose by similar or greater
amounts. The exceptionally large and unanticipated rise in prices was attributed to many ...
Cited by 12 - Related articles - All 9 versions

Optimal management of an ecosystem with an unknown threshold

[PDF] from uiuc.edu
N Brozovic… - Ecological Economics, 2011 - Elsevier
We consider an ecosystem with two distinct equations of motion that are separated by a
threshold value of the state variable. We find that increasing uncertainty (both uncertainty
embedded in the natural system and uncertainty of the decisionmaker about the location ...
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Fisheries management under cyclical population dynamics

[PDF] from columbia.edu
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RT Carson, C Granger, J Jackson… - … and Resource Economics, 2009 - Springer
Abstract Cycles in environmental conditions (eg, sea-surface temperature) directly impact
fish growth. This paper extends the classical Gordon-Schaefer fishery model by replacing
the constant growth rate with a cyclical growth rate. The optimal harvest rate is shown to ...
Cited by 7 - Related articles - All 31 versions

[PDF] The US Biofuel Mandate and World Food Prices: An Econometric Analysis of the Demand and Supply of Calories

[PDF] from uconn.edu
MJ Roberts… - NBER Working Paper, 2010 - are.uconn.edu
Abstract We show how yield shocks (deviations from a time trend), which are likely
attributable to random weather fluctuations, can facilitate estimation of both demand and
supply elasticities of agricultural commodities. We identify demand using current-period ...
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[PDF] Climate change and agriculture reconsidered

[PDF] from indiaenvironmentportal.org.in
A Fisher, M Hanemann, MJ Roberts… - 2009 - indiaenvironmentportal.org.in
Abstract Despite the existence of a large and growing literature on the potential impact of
climate change on agriculture, there still exists some disagreement about the magnitude and
even the sign. Our own research suggests that the impact on US agriculture is likely to be ...
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[PDF] Inter-annual weather variation and crop yields

[PDF] from nber.org
W Schlenker - New York NY: Unpublished Working Paper, Dept. of …, 2006 - nber.org
Abstract While the effects of rising mean temperatures on agricultural output have been
studied extensively, there is limited discussion of the impact of inter-annual weather
variation on crop yields. This paper estimates the link between weather and crop yields ...
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Reduced-form versus structural modeling in environmental and resource economics

Full text - MIT Libraries
C Timmins… - Annu. Rev. Resour. Econ., 2009 - annualreviews.org
We contrast structural and reduced form empirical studies in environmental and resource
economics. Both methodologies have their own context-specific advantages and
disadvantages, and should be viewed as complements, not substitutes. Structural models ...
Cited by 4 - Related articles - All 6 versions

[PDF] The impact of global warming on US agriculture: an econometric analysis

[PDF] from stanford.edu
W Schlenker, M Hanemann… - Department of …, 2002 - stephenschneider.stanford.edu
Abstract Differences in estimates of the impact of climate change on US agriculture can be
explained by the failure to adequately allow for differences between rain-fed and irrigated
agriculture as well as urban influences. We derive feasible GLS weights to obtain an ...
Cited by 3 - Related articles - Library Search - All 9 versions

[PDF] Nonlinear effects of weather on crop yields: implications for climate change

[PDF] from webmeets.com
W Schlenker… - Review of Agricultural Economics, 2006 - webmeets.com
Abstract We estimate the relationship between weather and corn, soybean, and cotton yields
using a unique fine-scale data set of daily weather records spanning the entire United States
from 1950-2004. Our dataset incorporates the distribution of temperatures between the ...
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[PDF] The economic impacts of climate change: Evidence from agricultural output and random fluctuations in weather: Comment

[PDF] from columbia.edu
AC Fisher, WM Hanemann, MJ Roberts… - American Economic …, 2010 - columbia.edu
Abstract In a series of studies employing a variety of approaches we have found that the
potential impact of climate change on US agriculture is likely negative. Deschenes and
Greenstone (2007) report dramatically different results based on regressions of ...
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[PDF] Identifying non-linearities in fixed effects models

[PDF] from ucsd.edu
CT McIntosh… - UC-San Diego Working Paper, 2006 - empac.ucsd.edu
Abstract We discuss the use of quadratic terms in models which include fixed effects or
dummy variables. Contrary to the standard interpretation wherein fixed effects models are
identified solely by deviations from the group mean, a quadratic explanatory variable ...
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[PDF] Air Pollution and Contemporaneous Health: Evidence from Random Variation in Pollution Shocks from Airports

[PDF] from webmeets.com
W Schlenker… - 2010 - webmeets.com
Abstract We exploit exogenous changes in daily airport traffic congestion in California to
look at the relationship between airport congestion and local pollution levels. We measure
congestion as the time it takes airplanes to taxi from the gate to the runway and instrument ...
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[PDF] Potential impacts of climate change on crop yields and land values in US agriculture: negative, significant, and robust

[PDF] from berkeley.edu
A Fisher, M Hanemann, M Roberts… - University of California …, 2007 - ucei.berkeley.edu
Abstract Several recent studies have found that the impact of climate change on US
agriculture is likely to be adverse overall, though a northern tier of states will benefit. This
finding is challenged by Deschenes and Greenstone (2007)[henceforth, DG], who link ...
Cited by 2 - Related articles - View as HTML - All 3 versions

The impact of global warming on us agriculture: An econometric analysis

W Schlenker, M Hanemann… - 2003 - ams.confex.com
One of the most vulnerable sectors to a change in climatic conditions is agriculture, where
climatic variables such as temperature and precipitation are direct inputs into the production
function. Previous studies of the potential impact of global warming on US agriculture ...
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[CITATION] Fisheries Management Under Cyclical Population Changes

RT Carson, C Granger, J Jackson… - 2005 - University of California, San Diego
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[PDF] Resilience, uncertainty, and the role of economics in ecosystem management

[PDF] from umn.edu
N Brozovic… - Urbana, 2007 - ageconsearch.umn.edu
Abstract Many natural systems have the potential to switch between alternative dynamic
behaviors. We consider a system with two distinct equations of motion that are separated by
a threshold value of the state variable. We show that utility maximization will give a ...
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[PDF] Implications of Climate Change for Farmland Value: Preliminary Estimates for California

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W Schlenker, WM Hanemann… - 2005 - webmeets.com
Abstract We use the geo-referenced June Agricultural Survey of the US Department of
Agriculture to match values of individual farms in California with climatic variables as well as
irrigation districts to examine the potential effects of climate change on irrigated agriculture ...
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[CITATION] Inter-annual Weather Variation and Crop Yields: Implications for Climate Change

C McIntosh… - National Center for Medium Range Weather Forecast, …, 2005
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[PDF] Agriculture and climate change revisted

[PDF] from worldbank.org
AC Fisher, WM Hanemann… - … of California at …, 2009 - siteresources.worldbank.org
Agriculture-large share of GDP in developing countries Agriculture-small share of GDP in
the US, but US produces 40% of all corn in the world (38% of all soybeans, 20% of all
cotton) Impacts in the US will influence world supply and prices Discussion whether US ...
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[PDF] Global climate models and climate data: A user guide for economists

[PDF] from columbia.edu
M Auffhammer, S Hsiang, W Schlenker… - 2011 - ldeo.columbia.edu
Abstract This paper provides an introduction to climate data sets, climate models, and the
output they provide. We identify five major issues related to the use of gridded historical
weather products and climate model output: Spatially specific prediction error due to the ...
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[PDF] Are Current Fisheries Management Models Wrong? An Error Correction Approach to Reconciling the Historical Records on Fish Stocks.

[PDF] from webmeets.com
RT Carson, C Granger, J Jackson… - 2005 - webmeets.com
Abstract Standard fisheries models used in economics and for management purposes
almost always assume parameter values of the fishing system are stable. In this paper, we
put forth models where the parameters of the biological growth model systematically ...
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[PDF] Technical Report for the ICCT: Empirical Evidence on Crop Yield Elasticities

[PDF] from theicct.org
S Berry… - Washington, DC: International Council on Clean …, 2011 - theicct.org
This technical note addresses an important empirical issue in the study of bio-fuels and
indirect land use. Incremental crops used by the bio-fuel industry are provided by some
combination of decreased demand and increased production. That increased production, ...
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[CITATION] The optimal pricing of natural resources

W Schlenker - 2003 - en.scientificcommons.org
Publikationsansicht. 33568516. The optimal pricing of natural resources / (2003). Schlenker,
Wolfram. Abstract. Thesis (Ph. D. in Agricultural and Resource Economics)--University of California,
Berkeley, Spring 2003.. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 120-126). ...
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[PDF] Research on Climate Change Impacts and Associated Economic Damages

[PDF] from epa.gov
W Schlenker - yosemite.epa.gov
For most of human history, agriculture accounted for the dominant share of GDP and
employed most labor. Johnson (1997) estimates that in 1800 about 75-80% of the labor
force in developed nations was engaged in farming. Before 1930, production increases ...
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[HTML] Nonlinear Effects of Weather on US Crop Yields, Implications for Climate Change, and Why These Effects Matter for Developing Countries

[HTML] from google.com
W SCHLENKER… - Agriculture and Development, 2007 - books.google.com
In developing nations, the share of agricultural goods constitutes a significant share of
domestic income. Thus, Schelling argues, the impacts of climate change will likely weigh
more heavily on the developing world, while the costs of curbing climate change will likely ...
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Modern Chinese Drama: Characteristics–Problems–Perspectives

W Schlenker… - Theatre Research International, 1983 - Cambridge Univ Press
In China, Western theatre-goers often have the feeling that they are sitting in a boulevard
theatre. At most the higher moral level and a certain didactic quality, together, with political
seriousness, seem to distinguish the melodramas, comedies and thrillers from the popular ...
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[CITATION] Water Rights, Degree Days, and the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Irrigated Agriculture in California

W Schlenker, WM Hanemann… - 2005
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[CITATION] The Design and Implementation of US Climate Policy: Is Agricultural Production Becoming More or Less Sensitive to Extreme Heat? Evidence from US …

M Roberts… - 2011 - papers.ssrn.com
Abstract Extreme heat is the single best predictor of corn and soybean yields in the United
States. While average yields have risen continuously since World War II, we find no
evidence that relative tolerance to extreme heat has improved between 1950 and 2005. ...
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[CITATION] The Design and Implementation of US Climate Policy: Comment on

W Schlenker - NBER Book Chapter, 2011 - papers.ssrn.com
The chapter by Severin Borenstein discusses how market-based approaches might have to
be adjusted for human activities that impact the carbon flux differently across locations. The
question is whether geographic variations in the carbon flux are large enough and ...
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[PDF] AJAE Appendix: Consumer and Market Responses to Mad-Cow Disease

[PDF] from umn.edu
W Schlenker… - American Journal of …, 2009 - ageconsearch.umn.edu
Variable Description date exact date (day, month, year) store id id that uniquely identifies a
store UPC Universal Product Code-unique id for each product qtyWeight total quantity of a
UPC that is sold in a store on a given day netSales total sales (dollar) of a UPC that is sold ...
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Airports, Air Pollution, and Contemporaneous Health

[PDF] from fluglaerm-eppstein.de
W Schlenker… - 2011 - nber.org
Airports are some of the largest sources of air pollution in the United States. We demonstrate
that daily airport runway congestion contributes significantly to local pollution levels and
contemporaneous health of residents living nearby and downwind from airports. Our ...
Cited by 1 - Related articles - All 9 versions

[PDF] An Error Correction Approach to Reconciling Historical Records on Fish Stocks

[PDF] from unsw.edu.au
RT Carson, C Granger, J Jackson… - 2005 - wwwdocs.fce.unsw.edu.au
Abstract Standard fisheries models used in economics and for management purposes
almost always assume parameter values of the fishing system are stable. In this paper, we
put forth models where the parameters of the biological growth model systematically ...
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Environmental Economics: pollution, regulation, nonmarket valuation

AI Gueorguieva, EE Houk, S Hutchinson, W Jang… - ajae.oxfordjournals.org
Ph.D. Recipients by Subject, 2003 863 ... Charles Fulcher, North Carolina State University,
“Spatial Aggregation and Prediction in the Hedo- nic Model.” ... Anna I. Gueorguieva, University
of California at Berkeley, “The Social Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks: Analysis of ...

[PDF] The joint effects of temperature and precipitation on land values: a farm-level data Ricardian analysis using flexible functional forms

[PDF] from pravdasurf.com
C Fezzi, I Bateman… - pravdasurf.com
Abstract Hedonic (or Ricardian) models of farmland values have been applied in a variety of
contexts to predict the impact of climate change on agriculture. Current Ricardian models
impose simple parametric structures on the relationships of interest, typically modelling ...
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[PDF] Comment on" Markets for Anthropogenic Carbon Within the Larger Carbon Cycle"

[PDF] from nber.org
W Schlenker - 2011 - nber.org
Market-based Regulation The main appeal of market-based regulations (taxes or permits) is
that they minimize abatement cost for a given reduction of pollution. Sulfur-dioxide (SO2) emissions
were subject a permit trading system in the United States in the 1990s. Stavins (1998) ...
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[PDF] Estimating the Potential Cost from Global Climate Change on US Agriculture using the Hedonic Approach

[PDF] from berkeley.edu
W Schlenker - 2000 - areweb.berkeley.edu
Abstract This paper reexamines the hedonic approach to evaluate the potential cost from
global climate change on US agriculture. The existing literature uses a restricted quadratic
production function to estimate the potential damages from climate change. Three of the ...
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[CITATION] Climate Change and Architecture

AC Fisher, WM Hanemann… - Annual …, 2012 - … Reviews 4139 El Camino Way, PO …
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[PDF] The Ricardian Approach with Panel Data and Flexible Functional Forms: An Additive Mixed Model applied to England and Wales farmland values

[PDF] from webmeets.com
C Fezzi, I Bateman… - webmeets.com
Abstract Hedonic (or Ricardian) models of farmland values have been applied in a variety of
contexts to predict the impact of climate change on agriculture. The advantage of this
approach is that, by observing how farmers adjust practices to match local climatic and ...
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[CITATION] Nor any Drop to Drink: Climate Change and the Future of Irrigated Agriculture

W Schlenker, WM Hanemann… - 2003
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[PDF] Determinants of Agricultural Output: Degree Days, Yields and Implications for Climate Change

[PDF] from umn.edu
W Schlenker, WM Hanemann… - 2005 Annual meeting, …, 2004 - ageconsearch.umn.edu
Abstract We link farmland values to climatic, soil, and socioeconomic variables for counties
east of the 100th meridian, the historic boundary of agriculture not primarily dependent on
irrigation. Degree days, a non-linear transformation of the climatic variables suggested by ...
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[CITATION] Estimating the impact of climate change on crop yields: The importance of non-linear temperature effects (Previous title: Non-Linear Effects of Weather on …

W Schlenker… - 2006
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[PDF] Agronomic Weather Measures in Econometric Models of Crop Yield with Implications for Climate Change

[PDF] from ncsu.edu
MJ ROBERTS, W SCHLENKER… - Amer. J. Agr. Econ - ncsu.edu
Agricultural production sits at the forefront of climate change impacts and the stakes are
large. The planet's population is growing faster than ever (although at a declining rate),
emerging economies are switching to more resource-expensive foods like meat, a large ...
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