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The effect of economic events on votes for president

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RC Fair - The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1978 - JSTOR
Page 1. The Review of Economics and Statistics VOL. LX MAY 1978 NUMBER 2 THE EFFECT
OF ECONOMIC EVENTS ON VOTES FOR PRESIDENT Ray C. Fair* I. Introduction AN important
question in political economy is how, if at all, economic events affect voting behavior. ...
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[CITATION] Principles of microeconomics

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KE Case… - 2007 - Pearson Education
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Methods of estimation for markets in disequilibrium

RC Fair… - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1972 - JSTOR
Page 1. Econometrica, Vol. 40, No. 3 (May, 1972) METHODS OF ESTIMATION FOR
MARKETS IN DISEQUILIBRIUM BY RAY C. FAIR AND DWIGHT M. JAFFEE' This
paper is concerned with the econometric problems associated ...
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The estimation of simultaneous equation models with lagged endogenous variables and first order serially correlated errors

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RC Fair - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1970 - JSTOR
Page 1. Econometrica, Vol. 38, No. 3 (May, 1970) THE ESTIMATION OF SIMULTANEOUS
EQUATION MODELS WITH LAGGED ENDOGENOUS VARIABLES AND FIRST ORDER
SERIALLY CORRELATED ERRORS BY RAY C. FAIR1 ...
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[BOOK] Specification, estimation, and analysis of macroeconometric models

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RC Fair - 1984 - books.google.com
Page 1. SPECIFICATION, ESTIMATION, AND ANALYSIS OF MACROECONOMETRIC
MODELS Rav C Fair Page 2. Page 3. Specification, Estimation, and Analysis of
Macroeconometric Models Page 4. Abbreviations ARMC Autoregressive ...
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Comparing information in forecasts from econometric models

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RC Fair… - The American Economic Review, 1990 - JSTOR
Page 1. Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models By RAY C.
FAIR AND ROBERT J. SHILLER* The information contained in one model's forecast
compared to that in another can be assessed from a regression ...
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Effects of the changing US age distribution on macroeconomic equations

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RC Fair… - 1992 - nber.org
Page 1. NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES EFFECTS OF THE CHANGING US AGE
DISTRIBUTION ON MACROECONOMIC EQUATIONS Ray C. Fair Kathryn M.
Dominguez Working Paper No. 2280 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ...
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Inference in nonlinear econometric models with structural change

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DWK Andrews… - The Review of Economic …, 1988 - restud.oxfordjournals.org
Page 1. Review of Economic Studies (1988) LY, 615-640 © 1988 The Review of Economic Studies
Limited 0034-6527/88/00380615$02.00 Inference in Nonlinear Econometric Models with Structural
Change DONALD WK ANDREWS and RAY C. FAIR Yale University ...
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[BOOK] Testing macroeconometric models

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RC Fair - 1994 - books.google.com
... Page 2. Page 3. Page 4. In this book Ray Fair expounds power- ful techniques for
estimating and ana- lyzing macroeconometric models. ... Ray Fair has conducted research
on structural macroeconometric models for more than twenty years. ...
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[CITATION] The short-run demand for workers and hours

RC Fair - 1969 - getcited.org
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Econometrics and presidential elections

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RC Fair - The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1996 - JSTOR
Page 1. Journal of Economic Perspectives-Volume 10, Number 3-7.Summer
1996-Pages 89-102 Econometrics and Presidential Elections Ray C. Fair A t the
beginning of the 1970s, Kramer (1971) wrote an influential paper ...
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The effect of economic events on votes for president: 1984 update

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RC Fair - Political Behavior, 1988 - Springer
Page 1. THE EFFECT OF ECONOMIC EVENTS ON VOTES FOR PRESIDENT: 1984 Update
Ray C. Fair In pre~-ious ,ork 1 have developed an equation explaining votes for president in
the United States that seems to have remarkable explanatory power. ...
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International evidence on the demand for money

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RC Fair - 1989 - nber.org
Page 1. NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE ON THE DEMAND
FOR MONEY Ray C. Fair Working Paper No. 2106 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC
RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 December 1986 ...
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Testing the NAIRU model for the United States

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RC Fair - Review of Economics and Statistics, 2000 - JSTOR
Page 1. TESTING THE NAIRU MODEL FOR THE UNITED STATES Ray C. Fair*
Abstract-This paper tests, using US data, the dynamics implied by the NAIRU view
of the relationship between inflation and the unemployment rate. ...
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[CITATION] A model of macroeconomic activity

RC Fair - 1974 - getcited.org
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A theory of extramarital affairs

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RC Fair - The Journal of Political Economy, 1978 - JSTOR
Page 1. A Theory of Extramarital Affairs Ray C. Fair Yale University In this paper a model is
developed that explains the allocation of an individual's time among work and two types of
leisure activities: time spent with spouse, and time spent with paramour. ...
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Methods of estimation for markets in disequilibrium: a further study

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RC Fair… - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1974 - JSTOR
Page 1. Econometrica, Vol. 42, No. 1 (January, 1974) METHODS OF ESTIMATION
FOR MARKETS IN DISEQUILIBRIUM: A FURTHER STUDY BY RAY C. FAIR AND
HARRY H. KELEJIAN' This paper is concerned with the problem ...
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Estimating the expected predictive accuracy of econometric models

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RC Fair - International Economic Review, 1980 - JSTOR
Page 1. INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW Vol. 21, No. 2, June, 1980
ESTIMATING THE EXPECTED PREDICTIVE ACCURACY OF ECONOMETRIC
MODELS* BY RAY C. FAIR' 1. INTRODUCTION A method is proposed ...
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The production-smoothing model is alive and well

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RC Fair - Journal of Monetary Economics, 1989 - Elsevier
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The optimal distribution of income

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RC Fair - The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1971 - JSTOR
Page 1. THE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS Vol. LXXXV November 1971 No. 4 THE
OPTIMAL DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME Ray C. Fair I. Introduction, 551. — II. The general model,
552. — III. Specification of the model, 555. — IV. The results, 567. ...
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[CITATION] A short-run forecasting model of the United States economy

RC Fair - 1971 - getcited.org
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The informational content of ex ante forecasts

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RC Fair… - 1989 - nber.org
Page 1. NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES THE INFORMATIONAL CONTENT OF EX
ANTE FORECASTS Ray C. Fair Robert J. Shiller Working Paper No. 2503 NATIONAL
BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts ...
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The effect of economic events on votes for president: 1980 results

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RC Fair - The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1982 - JSTOR
Page 1. NOTES THE EFFECT OF ECONOMIC EVENTS ON VOTES FOR PRESIDENT: 1980
RESULTS Ray C. Fair* In Fair (1978) 1 developed a fairly general model of voting behavior.
The model was tested using data on US presidential elections. ...
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An analysis of the accuracy of four macroeconometric models

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RC Fair - The Journal of Political Economy, 1979 - JSTOR
Page 1. An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models Ray C. Fair
Yale University The primary purpose of this paper is to compare the predictive accuracy
of four models: (1) Sargent's classical macroeconometric ...
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Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale

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KM Dominguez, RC Fair… - The American Economic Review, 1988 - JSTOR
Page 1. Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale By KATHRYN M.
DOMINGUEZ, RAY C. FAIR, MATTHEW D. SHAPIRO* Was the Depression
forecastable? After the Crash, how long should it have taken contemporary ...
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Disequilibrium in housing models

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RC Fair - The Journal of Finance, 1972 - JSTOR
Page 1. DISEQUILIBRIUM IN HOUSING MODELS RAY C. FAIR* I. INTRODUCTION
The housing and mortgage markets have long been considered to be markets that
may not always be in equilibrium, and many econometric ...
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A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator

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RC Fair - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1977 - JSTOR
Page 1. Econometrica, Vol. 45, No. 7 (October, 1977) A NOTE ON THE
COMPUTATION OF THE TOBIT ESTIMATOR' BY RAY C. FAIR2 TOBIT ESTIMATES
[4] are generally computed by some version of Newton's method.3 In ...
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Events that shook the market

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RC Fair - Journal of Business, 2002 - works.bepress.com
Page 1. Ray С. Fair Yale University Events That Shook the Market" I. Introduction
Although it is obvious that stock prices respond to events, it is not easy to match
particular events to particular changes in stock prices. For example ...
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[BOOK] Estimating how the macroeconomy works

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RC Fair - 2004 - books.google.com
... lt has also been split between theorists and empiricists. Ray Fair is a resolute empiricist,
developing and refining methods for testing theories and models. The field cannot advance
without the discipline of testing how well the models approximate the data. ...
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An analysis of a macro-econometric model with rational expectations in the bond and stock markets

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RC Fair - The American Economic Review, 1979 - JSTOR
Page 1. An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in
the Bond and Stock Markets By RAY C. FAIR* The difficulty of accounting for expecta-
tional effects in macro-economic models is well known. ...
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The sensitivity of fiscal policy effects to assumptions about the behavior of the Federal Reserve

[PDF] from yale.edu
RC Fair - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1978 - JSTOR
Page 1. Econometrica, Vol. 46, No. 5 (September, 1978) THE SENSITIVITY OF FISCAL
POLICY EFFECTS TO ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT THE BEHAVIOR OF THE FEDERAL
RESERVE1 BY RAY C. FAIR The purpose of this paper ...
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The effect of economic events on votes for president: 1992 update

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RC Fair - Political Behavior, 1996 - Springer
Page 1. Political Behavior, Vol. 18, No. 2, 1996 THE EFFECT OF ECONOMIC EVENTS ON VOTES
FOR PRESIDENT: 1992 Update Ray C. Fair This article updates through the 1992 election the
equation originally presented in Fair (1978) explaining votes for president. ...
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[BOOK] Predicting presidential elections and other things

R Fair - 2011 - books.google.com
" It's the economy, stupid," as Democratic strategist James Carville would say. After many
years of study, Ray C. Fair has found that the state of the economy has a dominant influence
on national elections. Just in time for the 2012 presidential election, this new edition of his ...
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Excess labor and the business cycle

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RC Fair - 1984 - nber.org
Page 1. NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES EXCESS LABOR AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE
Ray C. Fair Working Paper No. 1292 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 March 1984 ...
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Efficient estimation of simultaneous equations with auto-regressive errors by instrumental variables

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RC Fair - The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1972 - JSTOR
Page 1. EFFICIENT ESTIMATION OF SIMULTANEOUS EQUATIONS WITH
AUTO-REGRESSIVE ERRORS BY INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES Ray C. Fair * I
Introduction T HE purpose of this paper is to point out how the efficient ...
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[PDF] On the robust estimation of econometric models

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RC Fair - 1974 - nber.org
Page 1. This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic
Research Volume Title: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 3, number 4 Volume
Author/Editor: Sanford V. Berg, editor Volume Publisher: NBER ...
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Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules

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RC Fair… - Journal of Monetary Economics, 1996 - Elsevier
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Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates

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RC Fair - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2003 - works.bepress.com
... Once the events have been found, the relationships among stock prices, bond * Tel.:
+1-203-432-3715; fax: +1-203-432-6167. E-mail address: ray.fair@yale.edu (RC Fair).
0261-5606/03/$ - see front matter © 2003 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved. ...
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The determination of yield differentials between debt instruments of the same maturity

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RC Fair… - Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1971 - JSTOR
Page 1. RAY C. FAIR and BURTON G. MALKIEL The Determination of Yield
Differentials Between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity I. INTRODUCTION*
DEBT INSTRUMENTS of comparable risk level and maturity and with ...
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[CITATION] On controlling the economy to win elections

R Fair - Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, 1975 - econpapers.repec.org
... EconPapers has moved to http://EconPapers.repec.org! Please update your bookmarks. On
Controlling the Economy to Win Elections. Ray Fair (). No 397, Cowles Foundation Discussion
Papers from Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University. ...
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[PDF] Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models

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RC Fair - Handbook of econometrics, 1986 - store3.data.bg
Page 1. Chapter 33 EVALUATING THE PREDICTIVE ACCURACY OF MODELS RAY
C. FAIR Contents 1. Introduction 2. Numerical solution of nonlinear models 3.
Evaluation of ex ante forecasts 4. Evaluation of ex post forecasts ...
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Full information estimation and stochastic simulation of models with rational expectations

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RC Fair… - Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1990 - Wiley Online Library
Page 1. JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS, VOL. 5 , 381-392 (1990) FULL
INFORMATION ESTIMATION AND STOCHASTIC SIMULATION OF MODELS WITH
RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS RAY C. FAIR Cowles Foundation ...
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[PDF] On modeling the economic linkages among countries

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RC Fair - … Economic Policy: Theory and Evidence: John …, 1979 - cowles.econ.yale.edu
Page 1. Cowles Foundation Paper 478 Reprinted from R. Dornbusch and JA Frenkel
(eds.), International Economic Policy: Theory and Evidence The Johns Hopkins
University Press, 1979 CHAPTER SIX On Modeling the Economic ...
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A comparison of alternative estimators of macroeconomic models

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RC Fair - International Economic Review, 1973 - JSTOR
Page 1. INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW Vol. 14, No. 2 A COMPARISON
OF ALTERNATIVE ESTIMATORS OF MACROECONOMIC MODELS* BY RAY C.
FAIR 1. INTRODUCTION ALTHOUGH THE DEVELOPMENT OF ...
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[PDF] Estimating event probabilities from macroeconometric models using stochastic simulation

[PDF] from nber.org
RC Fair - 1993 - nber.org
Page 1. This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau
of Economic Research Volume Title: Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting Volume
Author/Editor: James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson, editors ...
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Estimates of the effectiveness of monetary policy

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RC Fair - Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2005 - works.bepress.com
... rules. Ray C. Fair is a Professor of Economics at Yale University and a member of
the Cowles Foundation and the International Center for Finance {E-mail:
ray.fair@yale.edu; website: http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu). Received ...
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Testing the rational expectations hypothesis in macroeconometric models

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RC Fair - Oxford Economic Papers, 1993 - JSTOR
Page 1. Oxford Economic Papers 45 (1993), 169-190 TESTING THE RATIONAL
EXPECTATIONS HYPOTHESIS IN MACROECONOMETRIC MODELS By RAY C.
FAIR 1. Introduction ALTHOUGH the assumption that expectations ...
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An evaluation of a short-run forecasting model

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RC Fair - International Economic Review, 1974 - JSTOR
Page 1. INTEItNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW Vol. 15, No. 2, June, 1974 AN
EVALUATION OF A SHORT-RUN FORECASTING MODEL BY RAY C. FAIR 1.
INTRODUCTION AN IMPORTANT QUESTION in econometric model ...
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The effect of economic events on votes for president: 2004 update

RC Fair - 2006 - works.bepress.com
The specification of the vote equation has not been changed since the update of November 1994
following the 1992 election. The equation has simply been reestimated each four-year interval
using the latest economic data and the results of the previous election.
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Labor force participation, wage rates, and money illusion

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RC Fair - The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1971 - JSTOR
Page 1. LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION, WAGE RATES, AND MONEY ILLUSION
Ray C. Fair * I Introduction IN view of the numerous studies of labor force participation
in the past few years, it is surprising that so little attention ...
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Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules

[PDF] from yale.edu
R Fair - Economic Policy Review, Vol. 7, No. 1, March 2001, 2001 - papers.ssrn.com
Abstract: A popular way to approximate Federal Reserve policy is through the use of
estimated interest rate equations, or policy rules. In these rules, the dependent variable is
the interest rate that the Federal Reserve is assumed to control and the explanatory ...
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Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model

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RC Fair… - Journal of Econometrics, 1980 - Elsevier
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A criticism of one class of macroeconomic models with rational expectations

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RC Fair - Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1978 - JSTOR
Page 1. RAY C. FAIR* A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational
Expectations 1. INTRODUCTIC)N THE PURPOSE OF THIS PAPER is to make a criticism of one
class of macroeconomic models that have recently been developed [1, 6, 8, 9, 10]. ...
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Estimated age effects in athletic events and chess

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RC Fair - Experimental Aging Research, 2007 - Taylor & Francis
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Sources of economic fluctuations in the United States

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RC Fair - The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1988 - qje.oxfordjournals.org
Page 1. SOURCES OF ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS IN THE UNITED STATES* RAY
C. FAIR There has been much recent discussion about the ultimate sources of
macroeco- nomic variability. A number of authors attribute most ...
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The cowles commission approach, real business cycle theories, and new Keynesian economics

[PDF] from yale.edu
RC Fair - 1992 - nber.org
Page 1. NBER WORKING PAPERS SERIES THE COWLES COMMISSION
APPROACH, REAL BUSINESS CYCLE THEORIES. AND NEW KEYNESIAN
ECONOMICS Ray С Fair Working Paper No. 3990 NATIONAL BUREAU ...
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Estimating the uncertainty of policy effects in nonlinear models

[PDF] from yale.edu
RC Fair - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1980 - JSTOR
Page 1. Etonometrica, Vol. 48, No. 6 (September, 1980) ESTIMATING THE
UNCERTAINTY OF POLICY EFFECTS IN NONLINEAR MODELS BY RAY C. FAIR
A method is described in this paper for estimating, by means of stochastic ...
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A Model of the Balance of Payments

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RC Fair - Journal of International Economics, 1979 - Elsevier
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Presidential and Congressional Vote‐Share Equations

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RC Fair - American Journal of Political Science, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
... doi: 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2008.00357.x. Author Information. Yale University.
*Correspondence: Ray C. Fair is John M. Musser Professor of Economics, Yale University,
30 Hillhouse Ave., Rm. 32B, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 (ray.fair@yale.edu). ...
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Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries

[PDF] from yale.edu
RC Fair - 1981 - nber.org
Page 1. NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES ESTIMATED OUTPUT, PRICE, INTEREST
RATE, AND EXCHANGE RATE LINKAGES AMONG COUNTRIES Ray C. Fair Working
Paper No. 677 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ...
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Macro simulations for PCs in the classroom

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KE Case… - The American Economic Review, 1985 - JSTOR
Page 1. Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom By KARL E. CASE AND RAY
C. FAIR* There has always been a large difference between macroeconomics in
the classroom and macroeconomics as it is used in practice. ...
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Testing macroeconometric models

RC Fair - The American Economic Review, 1993 - JSTOR
Page 1. WHAT HAPPENED TO MACROECONOMETRIC MODELS?t Testing
Macroeconometric Models By RAY C. FAIR* Interest in research topics in different fields
fluctuates over time, and the field of macroeconomics is no exception. ...
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On modeling the effects of inflation shocks

[PDF] from yale.edu
R Fair - 2001 - papers.ssrn.com
Abstract: A popular model in the literature postulates an interest rate rule, a NAIRU price
equation, and an aggregate demand equation in which aggregate demand depends on the
real interest rate. In this model a positive inflation shock with the nominal interest rate held ...
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Estimated stabilization costs of the EMU

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RC Fair - National Institute Economic Review, 1998 - ner.sagepub.com
Page 1. 90 Estimated Stabilization Costs of the EMU Ray C. Fair* A multicountry
econometric model and stochastic simulation are used to estimate the stabilization
costs of the European Monetary Union (EMU). A measure of ...
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Events that shook the market

[PDF] from psu.edu
R Fair - 2000 - papers.ssrn.com
Abstract: Tick data on the S&P 500 futures contract and newswire searches are used to
match events to large five minute stock price changes. 58 events that led to large stock price
changes are identified between 1982 and 1999, 41 of which are directly or indirectly ...
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[BOOK] Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s

[PDF] from yale.edu
RC Fair… - 2002 - papers.ssrn.com
... 500 ∗ Cowles Foundation and International Center for Finance, Yale University, New
Haven, CT 06520-8281. Voice: 203-432-3715; Fax: 203-432-6167; e-mail:
ray.fair@yale.edu; website: fairmodel.econ.yale.edu. Page 3. index ...
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Does the NAIRU have the right dynamics?

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RC Fair - The American Economic Review, 1999 - JSTOR
... The GDP deflator includes prices of * Cowles Foundation, Yale University, New Haven,
CT 06520-8281 (e-mail: ray.fair @yale.edu; website: (http://fairmnodel.econ.yale.edu)).
All the data used in this paper can be downloaded from the website. ...
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[PDF] Inflation and Unemployment in a Macroeconometric Model

[PDF] from yale.edu
RC Fair - Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Conference, 1978 - fairmodel.econ.yale.edu
Page 1. Inflation and Unemployment in a Macroeconometric Model Ray C. Fair I.
Introduction The main question of this conference is why there has recently been
both high inflation and high unemployment in the US economy. ...
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The use of optimal control techniques to measure economic performance

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RC Fair - International Economic Review, 1978 - JSTOR
Page 1. INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW Vol. 19, No. 2, June, 1978 THE
USE OF OPTIMAL CONTROL TECHNIQUES TO MEASURE ECONOMIC
PERFORMANCE* BY RAY C. FAIR' 1. INTRODUCTION It is a common ...
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[CITATION] The Fair-Parke Program for the Estimation and Analysis of Nonlinear Econometric Models

RC Fair - Available free at http://fairmodel. econ. yale. edu, 2003
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[BOOK] Consumer Sentiment, the Stock Market, and Consumption Functions

[PDF] from princeton.edu
RC Fair - 1971 - princeton.edu
Page 1. CONSUMER SENTIMENT, THE STOCK MARKET, AND CONSUMPTION FUNCTIONS
Ray C. Fair Econometric Research Program Research Memorandum No. 119 Revised September
1971 The research described in this paper was supported by NSF Grant GS 2799. ...
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[PDF] Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship

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RC Fair - COWLES FOUNDATION DISCUSSION PAPER, 1996 - cowles.econ.yale.edu
Page 1. Cowles Foundation Discussion 1121 Testing the Standard View of the
Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship Ray C. Fair* April 1996 Abstract
The results in this paper, based on estimating and testing price ...
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Evaluating inflation targeting using a macroeconometric model

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RC Fair - 2007 - works.bepress.com
... One approach is to look at ∗Cowles Foundation and International Center for Finance,
Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520-8281. Voice: 203-432-3715; Fax: 203-432-6167;
e-mail: ray.fair@yale.edu; website: fairmodel.econ.yale.edu. ...
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Bootstrapping macroeconometric models

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R Fair - 2002 - papers.ssrn.com
Abstract: This paper outlines a bootstrapping approach to the estimation and analysis of
macroeconometric models. It integrates for dynamic, nonlinear, simultaneous equation
models the bootstrapping approach to evaluating estimators initiated by Efron (1979) and ...
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[CITATION] Analysis of Macroeconomic Models

RC Fair… - Cambridge, Mass, 1984
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Econometric modeling as information aggregation

RC Fair… - 1990 - nber.org
Page 1. NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES ECONOMETRIC MODELING AS INFORMATION
AGGREGATION Ray C. Fair Robert J. Shiller Working Paper No. 2233 NATIONAL BUREAU OF
ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 May 1987 ...
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College football rankings and market efficiency

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RC Fair… - Journal of Sports Economics, 2007 - jse.sagepub.com
Page 1. 10.1177/1527002505276724JOURNAL OF SPORTS ECONOMICS / February 2007
Fair, Oster / COLLEGE FOOTBALL RANKINGS College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency
RAY C. FAIR Yale University JOHN F. OSTER Stanford University ...
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Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model

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RC Fair - Journal of Monetary Economics, 1988 - Elsevier
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[CITATION] Macroeconometric Models

RC Fair - The New Palgrave: Econometrics, 1990
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Has macro progressed?

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RC Fair - Journal of Macroeconomics, 2010 - Elsevier
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Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints

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DWK Andrews… - Journal of econometrics, 1992 - Elsevier
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[PDF] Estimated inflation costs had European unemployment been reduced in the 1980s by macro policies

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RC Fair - Journal of Macroeconomics, 1999 - Citeseer
Page 1. Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced
in the 1980s by Macro Policies Ray C. Fair ∗ December 1997 Abstract This paper
uses a multicountry econometric model to estimate what the ...
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[CITATION] An Empirical Study of the Hunt Commission Report Proposals for the Mortgage and Housing Markets

R Fair… - Policies for a More Competitive Financial System, 1972
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[CITATION] The Short-Run Demand Function for Workers and Hours

RC Fair - 1969 - Amsterdam, North-Holland
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[CITATION] Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program: User's Guide

DR Chapman… - 1972 - Princeton University, Econometric …
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[PDF] The implications of the proposals of the Hunt Commission for the mortgage and housing markets: An empirical study

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RC Fair… - Conference Series, 1972 - fairmodel.econ.yale.edu
Page 1. The Implications of the Proposals of the Hunt Commission for the Mortgage
and Housing Markets: An Empirical Study RAY C. FAIR and DWIGHT M. JAFFEE*
Part I: Introduction The Report of the President's Commission ...
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Estimated macroeconomic effects of a Chinese yuan appreciation

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RC Fair - Business economics, 2010 - palgrave-journals.com
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[PDF] Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules

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RC Fair - COWLES FOUNDATION DISCUSSION PAPER, 2000 - cowles.econ.yale.edu
... caused by random shocks. A tax rate rule is also considered. The rules are examined ∗ Cowles
Foundation,Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520-8281. Voice: 203-432-3715; Fax:
203-432-6167; e-mail: ray.fair@yale.edu; website: http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu. Page 3. ...
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A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised)

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RC Fair - 1979 - nber.org
Page 1. NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES A MULTICOUNTRY ECONOMETRIC
MODEL Ray С Fair Working Paper No. klkB. NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC
RESEARCH IO5O Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge MA 02138 ...
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Estimated effects of the October 1979 change in monetary policy on the 1980 economy

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RC Fair - 1981 - nber.org
Page 1. VOL. 71 NO. 2 THE ECONOMICS OF RECESSIONS 161 of inflation, of the
current degree of labor market tightness, of the current and lagged rates of growth of
real GNP, and of the lagged rate of growth of the money supply. ...
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[PDF] Is there empirical support for the 'modern'view of macroeconomics?

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RC Fair - Yale Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper, 2001 - Citeseer
... Voice: 203-432-3715; Fax: 203-432-6167; e-mail: ray.fair@yale.edu; website:
http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu. I am grateful to Andrew Levin and David Reifschneider
for helpful discussions about the FRB/US model. Page 3. 1990's. ...
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Optimal control and stochastic simulation of large nonlinear models with rational expectations

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RC Fair - Computational Economics, 2003 - works.bepress.com
... Printed in the Netherlands. Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models
with Rational Expectations RAY С FAIR Cowtes Foundation, Yale University, New Haven,
CT06520-828], USA; E-mail: ray.fair@yale. edu; website: http://fairmodel. econ.yale. ...
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Analyzing macroeconomic forecastability

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RC Fair - Journal of Forecasting, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
... Connecticut, USA. Email: Ray C. Fair (ray.fair@yale.edu). * Ray C. Fair, Cowles Foundation
and International Center for Finance, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
E-mail: ray.fair@yale.edu. Publication History. Issue published ...
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The use of expected future variables in macroeconometric models

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RC Fair - 1984 - nber.org
Page 1. NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES THE USE OF EXPECTED FUTURE
VARIABLES IN MPCROECONOMETRIC MODELS Ray C. Fair Working Paper No.
1445 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 ...
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Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change

DWK Andrews… - Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, 1987 - ideas.repec.org
Downloadable! This paper extends the classical Chow (1960) test for structural change in linear
regression models to a wide variety of nonlinear models, estimated by a variety of different
procedures. Wald, Lagrange multiplier-like, and likelihood ratio-like test statistics are introduced ...
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Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches

RC Fair - 1989 - nber.org
Page 1. NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES DOES MONETARY POLICY MATTER?
NARRATIVE VERSUS STRUCTURAL APPROACHES Ray C, Fair Working Paper
No. 3045 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH ...
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VAR Models as Structural Approximations

RC Fair - 1988 - nber.org
Page 1. NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES VAR MODELS AS STRUCTURAL
APPROXIMATIONS Ray C. Fair Working Paper No. 2495 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC
RESEARCH 1050 MassachusettS Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 January 1988 ...
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[PDF] Computing median unbiased estimates in macroeconometric models

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RC Fair - Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1996 - dido.wss.yale.edu
Page 1. Cowles Foundation Paper 931 JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS, VUL.
11,431-435 (1УУ5) COMPUTING MEDIAN UNBIASED ESTIMATES IN MACROECONOMETRIC
MODELS RAY С FAIR Cowles Foundation, Box 208281, Yale Station, New Haven. ...
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Computational methods for macroeconometric models

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RC Fair - Handbook of Computational Economics, 1996 - Elsevier
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Policy Effects in the Post Boom US Economy

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RC Fair - Topics in Macroeconomics, 2005 - degruyter.com
... Topics in Macroeconomics Volume 5, Issue 1 2005 Article 19 Policy Effects in the Post Boom
US Economy Ray C. Fair∗ ∗Yale University, ray.fair@yale.edu Copyright c©2005 by the authors.
All rights reserved. ... email: ray.fair@yale.edu. Website: fairmodel.econ.yale.edu. ...
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