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" Expected Utility" Analysis without the Independence Axiom

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MJ Machina - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1982 - JSTOR
Page 1. ECONOME TRIC A VOIUME 50 MARCH, 1982 NUMBER 2 "EXPECTED UTILITY"
ANALYSIS WITHOUT THE INDEPENDENCE AXIOM' BY MARK J. MACfIINA2 Experimental
studies have shown that the key behavioral assumption of expected utilitv theory. ...
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Choice under uncertainty: Problems solved and unsolved

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MJ Machina - The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1987 - JSTOR
Page 1. Economic Perspectives- Volume 1, Number I- Summer 1987-Pages
121-154 Choice Under Uncertainty: Problems Solved and Unsolved Mark J. Machina
F ifteen years ago, the theory of choice under uncertainty could ...
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Dynamic consistency and non-expected utility models of choice under uncertainty

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MJ Machina - Journal of Economic Literature, 1989 - JSTOR
Page 1. Journal of Economic Literature Vol. XXVII (December 1989), pp. 1622-1668
Dynamic Consistency and Non-Expected Utility Models of Choice Under Uncertainty
By MARK J. MACHINA University of California, San Diego ...
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A more robust definition of subjective probability

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MJ Machina… - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric …, 1992 - JSTOR
Page 1. Econometrica, Vol. 60, No. 4 (July, 1992), 745-780 A MORE ROBUST
DEFINITION OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY BY MARK J. MACHINA AND DAVID
SCHMEIDLER1 The goal of choice-theoretic derivations of subjective ...
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Temporal risk and the nature of induced preferences

MJ Machina - Journal of economic theory, 1984 - Elsevier
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Decision-making in the presence of risk

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MJ Machina - Science, 1987 - sciencemag.org
Page 1. Decision-Making in the Presence of Risk MARK J. MACHINA Proposed in
the 18th century by Cramer and Bernoulli and formally axiomatizedin the 20th century
by von Neumann and Morgenstern and others, the expected ...
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[CITATION] The economic theory of individual behavior toward risk theory, evidence, and new directions

M Machina - Recherche, 2003 - lavoisier.fr
Livre: The economic theory of individual behavior toward risk theory,
evidence, and new directions MACHINA MARK.
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[CITATION] Generalized expected utility analysis and the nature of observed violations of the independence axiom

M Machina - Foundations of utility and risk theory …, 1983 - D. Reidel Publishing, Dordrecht
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Non-expected utility and the robustness of the classical insurance paradigm

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MJ Machina - The GENEVA Papers on Risk and Insurance-Theory, 1995 - Springer
Page 1. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance Theory, 20:9-50 (1995) 9 1995
The Geneva Association Non-Expected Utility and the Robustness of the Classical
Insurance Paradigm MARK J. MACHINA Department of Economics ...
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Stochastic choice functions generated from deterministic preferences over lotteries

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MJ Machina - The Economic Journal, 1985 - JSTOR
Page 1. TH E EC ONCOMIC JO URNAL SEPTEMBER 1985 The Economic Journal, 95
(September 1985), 575--594 Printed in Great Britain STOCHASTIC CHOICE FUNCTIONS
GENERATED FROM DETERMINISTIC PREFERENCES OVER LOTTERIES* Mark J. Machina ...
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A stronger characterization of declining risk aversion

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MJ Machina - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1982 - JSTOR
Page 1. Econometrica, Vol. 50, No. 4 (July, 1982) A STRONGER CHARACTERIZATION
OF DECLINING RISK AVERSION BY MARK J. MACHINA1 1. THE ARROW-PRATT
AND ROSS CHARACTERIZATIONS THE HYPOTHESIS ...
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Increasing risk: some direct constructions

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M Machina… - Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1997 - Springer
This article extends the classic RothschildNStiglitz characterization of comparative risk ("
increasing risk") in two directions. By adopting a more general definition of" mean preserving
spread"(MPS), it provides a direct construction of a sequence of MPS's linking any pair of ...
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Comparative statics and non-expected utility preferences

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MJ Machina - Journal of Economic Theory, 1989 - Elsevier
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Bayes without Bernoulli: Simple conditions for probabilistically sophisticated choice

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MJ Machina… - Journal of Economic Theory, 1995 - Elsevier
Page 1. JOURNAL OF liCONOMIC THEORY' 67, 106 128 (1995) Bayes without
Bernoulli: Simple Conditions for Probabilistically Sophisticated Choice* Mark J.
Machina* Department of Economics, University of California-San ...
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Risk, ambiguity, and the rank-dependence axioms

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MJ Machina - The American Economic Review, 2009 - JSTOR
Page 1. American Economic Review 2009, 99 1, 385-392 http //www aeaweb
org/articles php?doi=101257/aer991 385 Risk, Ambiguity, and the Rank-Dependence
Axioms By Mark J. Machina* Choice problems in the spirit of ...
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Forecasting and decision theory

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CWJ Granger… - Handbook of economic forecasting, 2006 - Elsevier
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Attitudes toward risk: further remarks

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JB Quizon, HP Binswanger… - The Economic Journal, 1984 - JSTOR
Page 1. The Economic Journal, 94 (March 1984), 144-148 Printed in Great Britain
ATTITUDES TOWARD RISK: FURTHER REMARKS* Jaime B. Quizon, Hans P.
Binswanger, and Mark J. Machina The purpose of this note is ...
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[CITATION] Dynamic consistency and non-expected utility

M Machina - Foundations of Decision Theory, 1991 - Oxford, MA: Basil Blackwell
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Nonexpected utility theory

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MJ Machina - Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, 2004 - Wiley Online Library
Skip to Main Content. ...
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The Ross characterization of risk aversion: Strengthening and extension

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MJ Machina… - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric …, 1987 - JSTOR
Page 1. Econometrica, Vol. 55, No. 5 (September, 1987), 1139-1149 THE ROSS
CHARACTERIZATION OF RISK AVERSION: STRENGTHENING AND EXTENSION
By Mark J. Machina and William S. Neilson1 This paper oners ...
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On the profitability of Russian serfdom

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ED Domar… - The Journal of Economic History, 1984 - Cambridge Univ Press
Page 1. THE JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC HISTORY VOLUME XLIV DECEMBER 1984
NUMBER 4 On the Profitability of Russian Serfdom EVSEY D. DOMAR AND MARK
J. MACHINA The paper examines the thesis, popular among ...
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Expected utility hypothesis

MJ Machina - Utility and Probability, 1990 - books.google.com
Page 95. Expected Utility Hypothesis MARK J. MACHINA The expected utility hypothesis
of behaviour towards risk is essentially the hypothesis that the individual decision-maker
possesses (or acts as if possessing) a'von Neumann ...
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'Expected utility/subjective probability'analysis without the sure-thing principle or probabilistic sophistication

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MJ Machina - Economic Theory, 2005 - Springer
Page 1. DOI: 10.1007/s00199-004-0573-6 Economic Theory 26, 1–62 (2005) Research
Articles 'Expected utility / subjective probability' analysis without the sure-thing principle
or probabilistic sophistication * Mark J. Machina Dept. ...
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Payoff kinks in preferences over lotteries

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MJ Machina - Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2001 - Springer
Page 1. The Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 23:3; 207–260, 2001 © 2001 Kluwer
Academic Publishers. Manufactured in The Netherlands. Payoff Kinks in Preferences
over Lotteries MARK J. MACHINA∗ mmachina@ucsd.edu ...
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Bounded rationality modeling

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B Munier, R Selten, D Bouyssou, P Bourgine… - Marketing Letters, 1999 - Springer
Page 1. Marketing Letters 10:3 (1999): 233±248 © 1999 Kluwer Academic Publishers,
Manufactured in The Netherlands Bounded Rationality Modeling BERTRAND MUNIER
GRID, Ecole Normale SupeÂrieure de Cachan REINHARD ...
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[PDF] States of the World and the State of Decision Theory

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M Machina - The Economics of Risk WE Upjohn Institute ( …, 2003 - econ.ucsd.edu
Almost 20 years ago, I briefly knew a man by the name of Craig. Although he died about a
year after I met him, I've thought about him ever since. Craig had this uncanny ability to
converse with a person for a few minutes, and then announce what make and model of ...
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[BOOK] New directions in economic theory-Bounded rationality

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A Rubinstein, KG Binmore, MJ Osborne, U Broll… - 1990 - arielrubinstein.tau.ac.il
Page 1. Artículos NEW DIRECTIONS IN ECONOMIC THEORY- BOUNDED
RATIONALITY Ariel Rubinstein (*) Department of Economics Tel Aviv University
Resumen Este trabajo presenta varios modelos que destacan el contraste ...
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[PDF] Stated preference questions: context and optimal response

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RT Carson, T Groves… - National science foundation …, 1997 - 128.32.105.3
Page 1. Stated Preference Questions: Context and Optimal Response ∗ Richard T. Carson
Theodore Groves Mark J. Machina Department of Economics University of California, San Diego
La Jolla, CA 92093 Preliminary Draft: Not for Citation July 24, 1997 Abstract ...
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[BOOK] Non-expected utility and risk management: a special issue of the Geneva papers on risk and insurance theory

C Gollier… - 1995 - books.google.com
... oz NON-EXPECTED UTILITY AND RISK MANAGEMENT edited by Christian Gollier Mark Machina
0-7923-9642-1 KLUWER ACADEMIC PUBLISHERS ASSOCIATION DE GENEVE • THE GENEVA
ASSOCIATION • DIE GENFER VEREINIGUNG Page 2. Page 3. Page 4. ...
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Moment preferences and polynomial utility

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SM Müller… - Economics Letters, 1987 - Elsevier
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Structural attribution of observed volatility clustering

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CWJ Granger… - Journal of econometrics, 2006 - Elsevier
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Non-expected utility and the robustness of the classical insurance paradigm

MJ Machina - Handbook of Insurance, 2001 - Springer
Page 1. Abstract 2 Non-Expected Utility and the Robustness of the Classical
Insurance Paradigm* Mark J. Machina University of California, San Diago This
chapter uses the technique of "generalized expected utility analysis ...
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[PDF] Robustifying the classical model of risk preferences and beliefs

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MJ Machina - 2002 - escholarship.org
Page 1. ...
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On Path Independent Randomized Choice

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MJ Machina… - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1981 - JSTOR
Page 1. Econometrica, Vol. 49, No. 5 (September, 1981) ON PATH INDEPENDENT
RANDOMIZED CHOICE BY MARK J. MACHINA AND ROBERT P. PARKS' IN LIGHT
OF THE famous impossibility theorem of Arrow involving ...
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Event-Separability in the Ellsberg urn

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MJ Machina - Economic Theory, 2011 - Springer
Page 1. Econ Theory DOI 10.1007/s00199-011-0652-4 SYMPOSIUM Event-
Separability in the Ellsberg urn Mark J. Machina Received: 5 April 2011 / Accepted:
9 June 2011 © Springer-Verlag 2011 Abstract Ellsberg's three-color ...
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The incentive implications of incomplete insurance* 1:: The multiplicative case

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T Ito… - Economics Letters, 1983 - Elsevier
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[BOOK] Models and experiments in risk and rationality

B Munier… - 1994 - books.google.com
Page 1. i kluwer the language of science Page 2. Page 3. /I Vl -»•-p-> J<-* J , il* J o to -'r<< /!;
X BS • j to f-yr --2* 5 O i. d, < 2_ S S C- rr : cs 5 3 ^ G. Page 4. Page 5. Page 6. Page 7. MODELS
AND EXPERIMENTS IN RISK AND RATIONALITY This Oni B5NU-8B6-8DB2 Page 8. ...
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A Challenge To The “Econoclasts”

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MJ Machina - Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1999 - Springer
Page 1. Ž . Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 19:13; 107108 1999 1999 Kluwer Academic
Publishers. Manufactured in The Netherlands. A Challenge To The ''Econoclasts'': A Commentary
on ''Rationality for Economists?'' MARK J. MACHINA mmachina@ucsd.edu ...
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Flexibility and the demand for risky assets

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MJ Machina - Economics Letters, 1982 - Elsevier
The fact that reduced flexibility always increases the demand for insurance has led to
the belief that reduced flexibility always makes individuals more 'risk.
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[BOOK] Beliefs, interactions, and preferences in decision making

MJ Machina… - 1999 - books.google.com
Page 1. THEORY AND DECISION LIBRARY SERIES B: MATHEMATICAL AND STATISTICAL
METHODS BELIEFS, INTERACTIONS AND PREFERENCES IN DECISION MAKING Edited by
Mark J. Machina and Bertrand Munier KLUWER ACADEMIC PUBLISHERS Page 2. ...
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[CITATION] Incentive and informational properties of preference questions, University of California, San Diego

RT Carson, T Groves… - 2000 - … paper. Retrieved May 2005 from http …
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[CITATION] Perception of Risk

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MJ Machina - Science, 1987
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[CITATION] nNon% Expected Utility Theoryo in Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, ed. by J. Teugels and B. Sundt

MJ Machina - 2004 - John Wiley & Sons
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Barrett and Arntzenius's Infinite Decision Puzzle

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MJ Machina - Theory and Decision, 2000 - Springer
Page 1. MARK J. MACHINA BARRETT AND ARNTZENIUS'S INFINITE DECISION
PUZZLE ABSTRACT. The Barrett and Arntzenius (1999) decision paradox involves
un- bounded wealth, the relationship between period-wise ...
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[CITATION] Risk. In the New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, edited by Steven N. Durlauf and Lawrence E. Blume

M Machina… - 2008 - London: Macmillan
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[CITATION] Choice Under Uncertainty: Problems Solved and Unsolved

MJ Machina - Readings in Applied Microeconomic Theory: Market …, 2000
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The two errors: A summary

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MJ Machina - Theory and Decision, 1995 - Springer
Page 1. MARK J. MACI-IINA THE TWO ERRORS: A SUMMARY Upon reading
Professor Allais' extensive reply, I feel that the entire controversy can be summed
up by the following two points: • Each error in the proof of the "Allais ...
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The Profitability of Serfdom: A Reply

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ED Domar… - The Journal of Economic History, 1985 - Cambridge Univ Press
Page 1. The Profitability of Serfdom: A Reply EVSEY D. DOMAR AND MARK J.
MACHINA In discussing Catherine II's proficiency in the Russian language, the
historian Kliuchevskii remarked that "she could make four mistakes ...
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[CITATION] Anand, Paul. Foundations of rational choice under risk

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MJ Machina - Journal of Economic Literature, 1995 - AMERICAN ECONOMIC ASSOC
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[PDF] CARDINAL PROPERTIES OF" LOCAL UTILITY FUNCTIONS

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MJ Machina - Risk, Decision and Rationality. Dirdrecht: D. Reidel, 1988 - econ.ucsd.edu
Page 1. 339 BR Munier (ed.), Risk, Decision and Rationality, 339-344. ©1988 by
D. Reidel Publishing Company. Mark J. Machina CARDINAL PROPERTIES OF
"LOCAL UTILITY FUNCTIONS" This paper outlines the cardinal ...
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[CITATION] On the Profitability of Russian Serfdom

M Machina… - Working papers, 1982 - econpapers.repec.org
... Please update your bookmarks. On the Profitability of Russian Serfdom. Mark Machina () and
ED Domar. No 307, Working papers from Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT),
Department of Economics. Date: 1982-08 Track citations by RSS feed. ...
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[CITATION] Axioms and models in decision making under uncertainty::. The Foundation of Expected Utility. In Theory and Decision Library (Vol. 31). Dordrecht: Reidel, …

MJ Machina - Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 1983 - Elsevier
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[PDF] Editors: Samuel Cox (Georgia State University, USA)

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SJ Lee, SCB Chang, D Cummins, G Dickinson… - 2005 - scicollege.org.sg
The design of a comprehensive social security system is a critical issue to many countries
and regions. 1 Today, there are still many debates on such issues, such as which financing
system to choose (pay-as-you-go, fully funded or partially funded), and which way to fund ...
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[CITATION] Special issue on non-expected utility and risk management

C Gollier… - The Geneva papers on risk and insurance theory, 1995
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[CITATION] Uncertainty and Risk

Mohammed. Abdellaoui, R Duncan… - Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
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[CITATION] On Maurice Allais' and Ole Hagen's expected utility hypotheses and the Allais paradox: contemporary discussions of decisions under uncertainty with …

MJ Machina - Markets, risk and money, 1995

[CITATION] 188 ANNOUNCEMENTS

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D Levine, J Sobel… - … journal of the …, 1989 - Econometrics Society, the University …

[CITATION] A More Robust Definition of Subjective Probability: Y Mark J. Machina, David Schmeidler

MJ Machina, D Schmeidler… - 1990 - Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms- …
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[CITATION] Notes on the theory of choice: Boulder[ua], Westview Press, 1988

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MJ Machina - Journal of economic literature, 1989

Robustifying the Classical Analytics of Uncertainty, Rick Preferences and Beliefs

M Machina - 2004 - en.scientificcommons.org
Abstract The basic analytical concepts, tools and results of the classical expected
utility/subjective probability model of risk preferences and beliefs can be extended to
general event-smooth preferences over subjective acts that do not necessarily satisfy ...
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Corespondence

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HJ Kiesling, PD Junger, SC Salop… - The Journal of Economic …, 1988 - JSTOR
... Finally, I wanted to fill in some citations that did not appear in my original note. While
much of the literature was cited in great detail in the companion article by Mark Machina,
the key articles should have been noted in my paper, too. ...
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[PDF] aversion, due to Arrow [1] and Pratt [13], are:(AI)

[PDF] from ucsd.edu
MJ Machina - Econometrica, 1982 - dss.ucsd.edu
Page 1. Econometrica, Vol. 50, No. 4 (July, 1982) A STRONGER
CHARACTERIZATION OF DECLINING RISK AVERSION By Mark J. Machina1 1.
THE ARROW-PRATT AND ROSS CHARACTERIZATIONS The hypothesis that ...
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[CITATION] Generalized expected utility theory: Norwell, Mass., Kluwer Acad., 1993

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MJ Machina - Journal of economic literature, 1994

9. Choice under Uncertainty: Problems Solved and Unsolved

MJ MACHINA - … and Emerging Development Issues: Volume 1, 2000 - ingentaconnect.com

[PDF] FINAL REPORT TO THE COMMITTEE ON BASIC RESEARCH IN THE BEHAVIORAL & SOCIAL SCIENCES OF THE NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL TEN- …

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M Machina, R Hogarth, K MacCrimmon, J Roberts… - 1985 - econ.ucsd.edu
The field of information and decision theory has changed dramatically over the past ten
years in ways that will profoundly influence the direction of research for the next ten. A
decade ago, although the “expected utility” approach provided the model of individual ...
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Choice under Uncertainty

MJ Machina - Encyclopedia of Cognitive Science, 2001 - Wiley Online Library
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Two errors in the 'Allais Impossibility Theorem'

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MJ Machina - Theory and decision, 1995 - Springer
Page 1. MARK J. MACHINA TWO ERRORS IN THE 'ALLAIS IMPOSSIBILITY
THEOREM' ABSTRACT. In his so-called 'Allais Impossibility Theorem', Allais (1988)
asserts that the technique of 'generalized expected utility analysis ...
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[CITATION] 400 Recent Developments in Experimental Economics II

W Krelle, DM Kreps, H Kuhn… - Recent developments …, 1993 - E. Elgar Pub.

[PDF] THE INCENTIVE IMPLICATIONS OF INCOMPLETE INSURANCE

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IT Takatoshi… - Economics Letters, 1983 - dss.ucsd.edu
Page 1. Economics Letters 13 (1983) 319-323 North-Holland 319 THE INCENTIVE
IMPLICATIONS OF INCOMPLETE INSURANCE The Multiplicative Case * Takatoshi
IT0 Unioersrty of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA ...
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[PDF] AMBIGUITY AVERSION WITH THREE OR MORE OUTCOMES

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MJ Machina - 2011 - cear.gsu.edu
Page 1. AMBIGUITY AVERSION WITH THREE OR MORE OUTCOMES Mark J. Machina
Department of Economics University of California, San Diego La Jolla, California 92093
September 19, 2011 Ambiguous choice problems which involve three or more outcomes can ...
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1. Eg, von Neumann and Morgenstern (1947) and Savage (1954)(axiomatics); Arrow (1965), Pratt (1964), and Rothschild and Stiglitz (1970)(analytics); Akerlof (1970) …

CU Uncertainty… - The Limits of rationality, 1990 - books.google.com
Page 101. 3 Choice Under Uncertainty: Problems Solved and Unsolved Mark J.
Machina Fifteen years ago, the theory of choice under uncertainty could be con-
sidered one of the" success stories" of economic analysis: it rested ...
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[CITATION] Choice under Uncertainty: Problems Solved and Unsolved: Response

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M Machina - Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1988 - econpapers.repec.org
... EconPapers has moved to http://EconPapers.repec.org! Please update your bookmarks.
Choice under Uncertainty: Problems Solved and Unsolved: Response. Mark Machina ().
Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1988, vol. 2, issue 2, pages 181-83. ...
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[PDF] OBJECTIVE RISK PREFERENCES IMPLIED BY ATTITUDES TOWARD AMBIGUITY

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MJ Machina - imbs.uci.edu
Page 1. OBJECTIVE RISK PREFERENCES IMPLIED BY ATTITUDES TOWARD AMBIGUITY
Mark J. Machina Department of Economics University of California, San Diego and Institute for
Mathematical Behavioral Sciences University of California, Irvine Page 2. ...
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