My Citations
Scholar Home
  Advanced Scholar Search



Scholar      Create email alertResults 1 - 39 of 39. (0.13 sec) 

User profiles for author:"Marciano Siniscalchi"

Marciano Siniscalchi

Professor of Economics, Northwestern University
Verified email at northwestern.edu
Cited by 823

Strong belief and forward induction reasoning

[PDF] from northwestern.edu
Full text - MIT Libraries
P Battigalli… - Journal of Economic Theory, 2002 - Elsevier
We provide a unified epistemic analysis of some forward-induction solution concepts in
games with complete and incomplete information. We suggest that forward induction
reasoning may be usefully interpreted as a set of assumptions governing the players' ...
Cited by 142 - Related articles - BL Direct - All 13 versions

Hierarchies of conditional beliefs and interactive epistemology in dynamic games

[PDF] from upi-yptk.ac.id
Full text - MIT Libraries
P Battigalli… - Journal of Economic Theory, 1999 - Elsevier
The epistemic analysis of solution concepts for dynamic games involves statements about
the players' beliefs conditional upon different histories of play, their conditional beliefs about
each other's conditional beliefs, etc. To represent such statements, we construct a space ...
Cited by 132 - Related articles - Library Search - BL Direct - All 20 versions

A subjective spin on roulette wheels

[PDF] from unito.it
Full text - MIT Libraries
P Ghirardato, F Maccheroni, M Marinacci… - …, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
We provide a simple behavioral definition of 'subjective mixture'of acts for a large class of
(not necessarily expected-utility) preferences. Subjective mixtures enjoy the same algebraic
properties as the 'objective mixtures' used to great advantage in the decision setting ...
Cited by 102 - Related articles - Library Search - BL Direct - All 29 versions

[PDF] Rationalization and incomplete information

[PDF] from unimedia.ac.id
Full text - MIT Libraries
P Battigalli… - Advances in Theoretical …, 2003 - webkuliah.unimedia.ac.id
Abstract We analyze a family of extensive-form solution procedures for games with
incomplete information that do not require the specification of an epistemic type space a la
Harsanyi, but can accommodate a (commonly known) collection of explicit restrictions D ...
Cited by 72 - Related articles - View as HTML - Library Search - All 20 versions

Dynamic choice under ambiguity

[PDF] from econtheory.org
Full text - MIT Libraries
M Siniscalchi - Theoretical Economics, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
This paper analyzes dynamic choice for decision makers whose preferences violate
Savage's sure-thing principle (Savage 1954) and, therefore, give rise to violations of
dynamic consistency. The consistent-planning approach introduced by (1955–1956) ...
Cited by 61 - Related articles - All 40 versions

Rationalizable bidding in first-price auctions

[PDF] from northwestern.edu
Full text - MIT Libraries
P Battigalli… - Games and Economic Behavior, 2003 - Elsevier
We analyze the consequences of strategically sophisticated bidding without assuming
equilibrium behavior. In particular, we characterize interim rationalizable bids in symmetric
first-price auctions with interdependent values and affiliated signals. We show that (1) ...
Cited by 41 - Related articles - All 11 versions

A behavioral characterization of plausible priors

[PDF] from northwestern.edu
Full text - MIT Libraries
M Siniscalchi - Journal of Economic Theory, 2006 - Elsevier
Recent decision theories represent ambiguity via multiple priors, interpreted as alternative
probabilistic models of the relevant uncertainty. This paper provides a robust behavioral
foundation for this interpretation. A prior P is “plausible” if preferences over some subset of ...
Cited by 41 - Related articles - Library Search - All 19 versions

Vector expected utility and attitudes toward variation

[PDF] from northwestern.edu
Full text - MIT Libraries
M Siniscalchi - Econometrica, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
This paper proposes a model of decision under ambiguity deemed vector expected utility, or
VEU. In this model, an uncertain prospect, or Savage act, is assessed according to (a) a
baseline expected-utility evaluation, and (b) an adjustment that reflects the individual's ...
Cited by 34 - Related articles - All 23 versions

[PDF] Bayesian updating for general maxmin expected utility preferences

[PDF] from northwestern.edu
M Siniscalchi - Unpublished paper, Department of …, 2001 - faculty.wcas.northwestern.edu
Abstract A characterization of “generalized Bayesian updating” in a maxmin expected utility
setting is provided. The key axioms are consequentialism and constant-act dynamic
consistency. The latter requires that, if an arbitrary act f is preferred (inferior) to a constant ...
Cited by 27 - Related articles - View as HTML - Library Search - All 11 versions

Efficient sorting in a dynamic adverse-selection model

[PDF] from nyu.edu
Full text - MIT Libraries
I Hendel, A Lizzeri… - The Review of …, 2005 - restud.oxfordjournals.org
Abstract We discuss a class of markets for durable goods where efficiency (or approximate
efficiency) is obtained despite the presence of information asymmetries. In the model, the
number of times a good has changed hands (the vintage of the good) is an accurate ...
Cited by 26 - Related articles - All 37 versions

Parental guidance and supervised learning

[PDF] from oxfordjournals.org
Full text - MIT Libraries
A Lizzeri… - The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2008 - qje.oxfordjournals.org
Abstract We propose a simple theoretical model of supervised learning that is potentially
useful to interpret a number of empirical phenomena relevant to the nature-nurture debate.
The model captures a basic trade-off between sheltering the child from the consequences ...
Cited by 23 - Related articles - All 53 versions

[PDF] Epistemic game theory: beliefs and types

[PDF] from northwestern.edu
M Siniscalchi - The New Palgrave Dictionary of …, 2008 - faculty.wcas.northwestern.edu
John Harsanyi [19] introduced the formalism of type spaces to provide a simple and
parsimonious representation of belief hierarchies. He explicitly noted that his formalism was
not limited to modeling a player's beliefs about payoff-relevant variables: rather, its ...
Cited by 20 - Related articles - View as HTML

Interactive beliefs and forward induction

[PDF] from eui.eu
P Battigalli… - Economics Working Papers, 1999 - ideas.repec.org
The authors provide an epistemic analysis of forward induction in games with complete and
incomplete information. They suggest that forward induction may be usefully interpreted as a
set of assumptions governing the players' belief revision processes, and define a notion of ...
Cited by 17 - Related articles - Cached - Library Search - BL Direct - All 9 versions

An epistemic characterization of extensive form rationalizability

[PDF] from feem.it
P Battigalli… - 1999 - papers.ssrn.com
Abstract: We use an extensive form, universal type space to provide the following epistemic
characterisation of extensive form rationalisability. Say that player i strongly believes event E
if i is certain of E conditional on each of her information sets consistent with E. Our main ...
Cited by 11 - Related articles - All 9 versions

Interactive beliefs, epistemic independence and strong rationalizability

[PDF] from northwestern.edu
Full text - MIT Libraries
P Battigalli… - Research in Economics, 1999 - Elsevier
We use a universal, extensive form interactive beliefs system to provide an epistemic
characterization of a weak and a strong notion of rationalizability with independent beliefs.
The weak solution concept is equivalent to backward induction in generic perfect ...
Cited by 9 - Related articles - BL Direct - All 15 versions

Rational preferences under ambiguity

[PDF] from carloalberto.it
S Cerreia-Vioglio, P Ghirardato, F Maccheroni… - Economic Theory, 2011 - Springer
Abstract This paper analyzes preferences in the presence of ambiguity that are rational in
the sense of satisfying the classical ordering condition as well as monotonicity. Under
technical conditions that are natural in an Anscombe–Aumann environment, we show that ...
Cited by 9 - Related articles - Get it from MIT Libraries - All 11 versions

Two out of three ain't bad: A comment on 'The ambiguity aversion literature: A critical assessment'

[PDF] from northwestern.edu
Full text - MIT Libraries
M Siniscalchi - Economics and Philosophy, 2009 - Cambridge Univ Press
Al-Najjar and Weinstein (2009) propose to scrutinize the implications of recent theories of
ambiguity in dynamic settings. They conclude that such implications are so unreasonable as
to cast doubts on the legitimacy of the theories under consideration. The present paper ...
Cited by 8 - Related articles - All 7 versions

[BOOK] Vector-adjusted expected utility

[PDF] from lip6.fr
M Siniscalchi… - 2001 - www-desir.lip6.fr
Abstract This paper proposes a representation of (possibly) probabilistically unsophisticated
preferences whereby (1) beliefs are jointly represented by a finitely additive probability
measure and a vector-valued measure;(2) uncertain prospects are ranked according to ...
Cited by 7 - Related articles - View as HTML - Get it from MIT Libraries - Library Search - All 15 versions

[BOOK] Rationalizable Bidding in General First-Price Auctions

[PDF] from stidue.net
P Battigalli, M Siniscalchi… - 2001 - unina.stidue.net
Abstract We wish to analyze the consequences of strategically sophisticated bidding without
assuming equilibrium behavior. As a first step, we characterize interim rationalizable bids in
first-price auctions with interdependent values and affiliated signals. We show that (1) ...
Cited by 7 - Related articles - View as HTML - Get it from MIT Libraries - Library Search - All 9 versions

Introduction to model uncertainty and robustness

[PDF] from upi-yptk.ac.id
Full text - MIT Libraries
LP Hansen, P Maenhout, A Rustichini… - Journal of Economic …, 2006 - Elsevier
Cited by 6 - Related articles - All 7 versions

[PDF] Ambiguity and ambiguity aversion

[PDF] from luiss.it
M Siniscalchi - The new palgrave dictionary of economics, 2008 - luiss.it
Consider the following choice problem, known as “Ellsberg's three-color urn example”, or
simply the “Ellsberg Paradox”(Ellsberg [7]). An urn contains 30 red balls, and 60 green and
blue balls, in unspecified proportions; subjects are asked to compare (i) a bet on a red ...
Cited by 6 - Related articles - View as HTML - All 2 versions

Interactive epistemology in games with payoff uncertainty

[PDF] from northwestern.edu
Full text - MIT Libraries
P Battigalli… - Research in Economics, 2007 - Elsevier
We adopt an interactive epistemology perspective to analyse dynamic games with partially
unknown payoff functions. We consider solution procedures that iteratively delete strategies
conditional on private information about the state of nature. In particular we focus on a ...
Cited by 6 - Related articles - All 5 versions

[PDF] Machina's Reflection example and VEU preferences: a very short note

[PDF] from northwestern.edu
M Siniscalchi - 2008 - faculty.wcas.northwestern.edu
1 Executive Summary Machina [8] proposes examples of plausible preference patterns that
cannot be accommodated by the Choquet expected utility model (Schmeidler [9]). In a recent
paper, Baillon, L'Haridon and Placido [2] show that Machina's examples also pose a ...
Cited by 3 - Related articles - View as HTML

[PDF] Efficient Sorting in a Dynamic Adverse Selection Model: The Hot Potato

[PDF] from psu.edu
I Hendel, A Lizzeri… - Econometric Society World Congress …, 2000 - Citeseer
Abstract We study the possibility of achieving efficiency in a dynamic adverse selection
market for durable goods. The idea is to use the number of times a car has been traded
(“vintage”) as a signal of its quality. Higher-valuation consumers experiment with younger ...
Cited by 2 - Related articles - View as HTML - All 8 versions

[CITATION] Subjective Foundations for Objective Randomization: A New Spin on Roulette Wheels

P Ghirardato, F Maccheroni, M Marinacci… - forthcoming Econometrica, 2001
Cited by 2 - Related articles

[PDF] Recursive Vector Expected Utility

[PDF] from northwestern.edu
M Siniscalchi - 2010 - faculty.wcas.northwestern.edu
Abstract This paper proposes and axiomatizes a recursive version of the vector expected
utility (VEU) decision model (Siniscalchi, 2009). Recursive VEU preferences are dynamically
consistent and “consequentialist.” Dynamic consistency implies standard Bayesian ...
Cited by 1 - Related articles - View as HTML - Get it from MIT Libraries - All 9 versions

[CITATION] PRELIMINARY AND INCOMPLETE!

M Siniscalchi - 2008
Related articles - All 2 versions

[PDF] A revealed-preference theory of strategic counterfactuals

[PDF] from northwestern.edu
M Siniscalchi - 2011 - faculty.wcas.northwestern.edu
Abstract The analysis of extensive-form games involves assumptions concerning players'
beliefs at histories off the predicted path of play. However, the revealed-preference
interpretation of such assumptions is unclear: how does one elicit probabilities conditional ...
Related articles - View as HTML

Dynamic choice under ambiguity PDF Logo

[PDF] from econstor.eu
M Siniscalchi - econstor.eu
Zusammenfassung: This paper analyzes sophisticated dynamic choice for ambiguity-
sensitive decision makers. It characterizes Consistent Planning via axioms on preferences
over decision trees. Furthermore, it shows how to elicit conditional preferences from prior ...
Related articles

[CITATION] Parental Guidance and Supervised Learning

M Siniscalchi… - 2007 - School of Economics & Finance, The …
Get it from MIT Libraries - Library Search

[PDF] Rationalizable Bidding in First0Price Auctions: Private values

[PDF] from unimib.it
P Battigalli… - statistica.unimib.it
Abstract We characterize interim rationalizable bids in first-price auctions with private (but
not necessarily independent) values. We show that (i) every non-zero bid below the
equilibrium is rationalizable,(ii) some bids above the equilibrium are rationalizable,(iii) ...
Related articles - View as HTML - All 2 versions

Josef Hofbauer and William H. Sandholm Survival of dominated strategies under evolutionary dynamics............... 341

M Siniscalchi, T Hayashi, J Miao… - Wiley Online Library
Skip to Main Content. ...

Martin J. Osborne, Department of Economics, University of Toronto, martin. osborne@ utoronto. ca

JC Ely, EJ Green, BL Lipman, D Ray, S Athey… - Wiley Online Library
Skip to Main Content. ...

Rationalizable Bidding in First-Price Auctions

M Siniscalchi - atlas-conferences.com
This paper represent a first step toward the analysis of simultaneous bidding games based
on explicit assumptions about players' behavior and interactive beliefs. The general
methodology entails constructing bounds on the set of rational (izable) bids for a given`` ...
Cached - All 2 versions

[CITATION] Weak Sequential Rationality, Invariance and Normal-Form Perfection

M Siniscalchi - Rivista internazionale di …, 2001 - CEDAM CASA EDITRICE DOTT …
BL Direct

[PDF] Strategic approximation in incomplete# information games

[PDF] from vt.edu
MS Siegel, A Sojourner, B Strulovici - 2008 - econ.vt.edu
Abstract A complete description of an economic situation would typically require a very
complicated type space, which involves agentsmcomplex (higher% order) beliefs. Model%
ing involves adopting a simplified type space (for example, a finite type space). Such a ...
Related articles - View as HTML - All 2 versions

[CITATION] Conditional Preferences, Ellsberg Paradoxes and the Sure Thing Principle

M Siniscalchi - STUDIES IN RISK AND …, 1997 - KLUWER ACADEMIC PUBLISHERS
Related articles - BL Direct

Martin J. Osborne, Department of Economics, University of Toronto, martin. osborne@ utoronto. ca

J Hörner, BL Lipman, D Ray, S Athey, T Bergstrom… - Wiley Online Library
Skip to Main Content. Wiley Online Library will be disrupted 3
Dec from 10-12 GMT for monthly maintenance. ...

[CITATION] A SUBJECTIVE SPIN ON ROULETTE WHEELS

Full text - MIT Libraries
M Marinacci, M Siniscalchi, F Maccheroni… - …, 2003 - dialnet.unirioja.es
... A SUBJECTIVE SPIN ON ROULETTE WHEELS. Autores: Massimo Marinacci, Marciano
Siniscalchi, Fabio Maccheroni, Paolo Ghirardato; Localización: Econométrica, ISSN 0012-9682,
Vol. 71, Nº 6, 2003 , págs. 1897-1908. Fundación Dialnet. Acceso de usuarios registrados. ...
Cached

 Create email alert



 

About Google Scholar - All About Google - My Citations

©2012 Google