AEAweb: JEL: Contents: December 1999


 

Journal of Economic Literature
Vol. 37, No. 4, December 1999

Contents

The Microfinance Promise
Jonathan Morduch       1569

Inequality and Economic Growth: The Perspective of the New Growth Theories
Philippe Aghion, Eve Caroli, and Cecilia García-Peñalosa       1615

The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective
Richard Clarida, Jordi Galí, and Mark Gertler       1661

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The Microfinance Promise
Jonathan Morduch

In the past decade, microfinance programs have demonstrated that it is possible to lend to low-income households while maintaining high repayment rates-even without requiring collateral. The programs promise a revolution in approaches to alleviating poverty and spreading financial services, and millions of poor households are served globally. A growing body of economic theory demonstrates how new contractual forms offer a key to microfinance success-particularly the use of group-lending contracts with joint liability. For the most part, however, high repayment rates have not translated into profits, and studies of impacts on poverty yield a mixed picture. In describing emerging tensions, the paper highlights the diversity of innovative mechanisms beyond group-lending contracts, the measurement of financial sustainability, the estimation of economic and social impacts, the costs and benefits of subsidization, and the potential to reduce poverty through savings programs rather than just credit. The promise of microfinance has pushed far ahead of the evidence, and an agenda is put forward for addressing critical empirical gaps and sharpening the terms of policy discussion.

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Inequality and Economic Growth: The Perspective of the New Growth Theories
Philippe Aghion, Eve Caroli, and Cecilia García-Peñalosa

We analyze the relationship between inequality and economic growth from two directions. The first part of the survey examines the effect of inequality on growth, showing that when capital markets are imperfect, there is not necessarily a trade-off between equity and efficiency. It therefore provides an explanation for two recent empirical findings, namely, the negative impact of inequality and the positive effect of redistribution upon growth. The second part analyzes several mechanisms whereby growth may increase wage inequality, both across and within education cohorts. Technical change, and in particular the implementation of "General Purpose Technologies," stands as a crucial factor in explaining the recent upsurge in wage inequality.

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The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective
Richard Clarida, Jordi Galí, and Mark Gertler

The paper reviews the recent literature on monetary policy rules. We exposit the monetary policy design problem within a simple baseline theoretical framework. We then consider the implications of adding various real world complications. Among other things, we show that the optimal policy implicitly incorporates inflation targeting. We also characterize the gains from making a credible commitment to fight inflation. In contrast to conventional wisdom, we show that gains from commitment may emerge even if the central bank is not trying to inadvisedly push output above its natural level. We also consider the implications of frictions such as imperfect information.

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