Editors' Introduction (page viii) William R. Johnson and Jane E. Voros |
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Foreword (page x)
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Articles
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Richard T. Ely Lecture
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The Economics of Climate Change (pp. 1-37) Nicholas Stern |

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The Impact of Hurricanes on Residents and Local Labor Markets
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Returning to New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina (pp. 38-42) Christina Paxson and Cecilia Elena Rouse |
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The Effect of Hurricane Katrina on the Labor Market Outcomes of Evacuees (pp. 43-48) Jeffrey A. Groen and Anne E. Polivka |
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How Hurricanes Affect Wages and Employment in Local Labor Markets (pp. 49-53) Ariel R. Belasen and Solomon W. Polachek |
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Measuring the Labor Market Impacts of Hurricane Katrina Migration: Evidence from Houston, Texas (pp. 54-57) Molly Fifer McIntosh |
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Rare Disasters and Asset Markets
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Consumption Disasters in the Twentieth Century (pp. 58-63) Robert J. Barro and Jose F. Ursua |
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Variable Rare Disasters: A Tractable Theory of Ten Puzzles in Macro-finance (pp. 64-67) Xavier Gabaix |
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Disasters and Recoveries (pp. 68-73) Francois Gourio |
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Disasters and the Welfare Cost of Uncertainty (pp. 74-78) Ian W. R. Martin |
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US Fiscal Institutions: Reforming Tax Expenditures
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How Big Are Total Individual Income Tax Expenditures, and Who Benefits from Them? (pp. 79-83) Leonard E. Burman, Christopher Geissler and Eric J. Toder |
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Tax Expenditures for Owner-Occupied Housing: Deductions for Property Taxes and Mortgage Interest and the Exclusion of Imputed Rental Income (pp. 84-89) James Poterba and Todd Sinai |
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Using Tax Expenditures to Achieve Energy Policy Goals (pp. 90-94) Gilbert E. Metcalf |
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Design and Reform of Institutions in LDCs and Transition Economies
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Institutions: Top Down or Bottom Up? (pp. 95-99) William Easterly |
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Second-Best Institutions (pp. 100-104) Dani Rodrik |
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The Administrative Foundations of Self-Enforcing Constitutions (pp. 105-09) Yadira Gonzalez de Lara, Avner Greif and Saumitra Jha |
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Current and Future Institutions for the World Economy
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The Future of the IMF and the World Bank (pp. 110-15) Raghuram G. Rajan |
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Rethinking Global Environmental Governance to Deal with Climate Change: The Multiple Logics of Global Collective Action (pp. 116-21) Daniel C. Esty |
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Designing Institutions to Deal with Terrorism in the United States (pp. 122-26) Martin Feldstein |
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Reforming Economic Institutions of the European Union
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EU Institutional Reform: Evidence on Globalization and International Cooperation (pp. 127-32) Richard Baldwin |
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Widening and Deepening: Reforming the European Union (pp. 133-37) Erik Berglof, Mike Burkart, Guido Friebel and Elena Paltseva |
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Should the Euro Area Be Run as a Closed Economy? (pp. 138-45) Carlo Favero and Francesco Giavazzi |
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Empirical Work on Asymmetric Information in Insurance Markets
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Modeling Competition and Market Equilibrium in Insurance: Empirical Issues (pp. 146-50) Pierre-Andre Chiappori and Bernard Salanie |
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Does the Secondary Life Insurance Market Threaten Dynamic Insurance? (pp. 151-56) Glenn Daily, Igal Hendel and Alessandro Lizzeri |
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Preference Heterogeneity and Insurance Markets: Explaining a Puzzle of Insurance (pp. 157-62) David M. Cutler, Amy Finkelstein and Kathleen McGarry |
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Neuroeconomic Models of Economic Decision Making
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The Impact of Computation Time and Experience on Decision Values (pp. 163-68) K. Carrie Armel and Antonio Rangel |
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Economic Insights from "Neuroeconomic" Data (pp. 169-74) Andrew Caplin and Mark Dean |
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Theories of the Mind (pp. 175-80) Isabelle Brocas and Juan D. Carrillo |
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Information Aggregation by Voting
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Information Aggregation in Standing and Ad Hoc Committees (pp. 181-86) S. Nageeb Ali, Jacob K. Goeree, Navin Kartik and Thomas R. Palfrey |
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Costly Expertise (pp. 187-93) Dino Gerardi and Leeat Yariv |
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Information Aggregation and Strategic Abstention in Large Laboratory Elections (pp. 194-200) Marco Battaglini, Rebecca B. Morton and Thomas R. Palfrey |
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Work Incentives, Motivation, and Identity
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Intrinsic Motivation and Incentives (pp. 201-05) Canice Prendergast |
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Status Incentives (pp. 206-11) Timothy Besley and Maitreesh Ghatak |
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Identity, Supervision, and Work Groups (pp. 212-17) George A. Akerlof and Rachel E. Kranton |
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Expertise and Macroeconomic Policy
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Insiders versus Outsiders in Monetary Policymaking (pp. 218-23) Timothy Besley, Neil Meads and Paolo Surico |
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Do Monetary Policy Committees Need Leaders? A Report on an Experiment (pp. 224-29) Alan S. Blinder and John Morgan |
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The FOMC versus the Staff: Where Can Monetary Policymakers Add Value? (pp. 230-35) Christina D. Romer and David H. Romer |
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Complexity and Dynamics in Macroeconomics: Alternatives to the DSGE Models
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Beyond DSGE Models: Toward an Empirically Based Macroeconomics (pp. 236-40) David Colander, Peter Howitt, Alan Kirman, Axel Leijonhufvud and Perry Mehrling |
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Frequency-Specific Effects of Stabilization Policies (pp. 241-45) William A. Brock, Steven N. Durlauf and Giacomo Rondina |
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Modeling Macroeconomies as Open-Ended Dynamic Systems of Interacting Agents (pp. 246-50) Blake LeBaron and Leigh Tesfatsion |
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Allowing the Data to Speak Freely: The Macroeconometrics of the Cointegrated Vector Autoregression (pp. 251-55) Kevin D. Hoover, Soren Johansen and Katarina Juselius |
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Labor Market Flows
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The Ins and Outs of European Unemployment (pp. 256-62) Barbara Petrongolo and Christopher A. Pissarides |
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The Decline of Job Loss and Why It Matters (pp. 263-67) Steven J. Davis |
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The Probability of Finding a Job (pp. 268-73) Robert Shimer |
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Price Manipulation in Financial Markets
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How to Define Illegal Price Manipulation (pp. 274-79) Albert S. Kyle and S. Viswanathan |
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Microstructure Bluffing with Nested Information (pp. 280-84) Archishman Chakraborty and Bilge Yilmaz |
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Manipulation and Equity-Based Compensation (pp. 285-90) Lin Peng and Ailsa Roell |
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Life-Cycle Investing
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Contingent Claims Analysis and Life-Cycle Finance (pp. 291-96) Zvi Bodie, Doriana Ruffino and Jonathan Treussard |
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Optimal Life-Cycle Investing with Flexible Labor Supply: A Welfare Analysis of Life-Cycle Funds (pp. 297-303) Francisco J. Gomes, Laurence J. Kotlikoff and Luis M. Viceira |
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Why Don’t People Insure Late-Life Consumption?
A Framing Explanation of the Under-Annuitization Puzzle (pp. 304-09) Jeffrey R. Brown, Jeffrey R. Kling, Sendhil Mullainathan and Marian V. Wrobel |
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Assets and Credit among Low-Income Households
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Mortgages, Risk, and Homeownership among Low- and Moderate-Income Families (pp. 310-14) Raphael W. Bostic and Kwan Ok Lee |
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Rates for Vehicle Loans: Race and Loan Source (pp. 315-20) Kerwin Kofi Charles, Erik Hurst and Melvin Stephens |
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Saving whilst Gambling: An Empirical Analysis of UK Premium Bonds (pp. 321-26) Peter Tufano |
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New Perspectives on Financial Globalization
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The Drivers of Financial Globalization (pp. 327-32) Philip R. Lane and Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti |
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Home Bias at the Fund Level (pp. 333-38) Harald Hau and Helene Rey |
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Is the 2007 US Sub-prime Financial Crisis So Different? An International Historical Comparison (pp. 339-44) Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff |
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Applications of Recent Methodology in Project Evaluation
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Using Selection on Observed Variables to Assess Bias from Unobservables When Evaluating Swan-Ganz Catheterization (pp. 345-50) Joseph G. Altonji, Todd E. Elder and Christopher R. Taber |
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Treatment Effect Bounds under Monotonicity Assumptions: An Application to Swan-Ganz Catheterization (pp. 351-56) Jay Bhattacharya, Azeem M. Shaikh and Edward Vytlacil |
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Estimating Average Treatment Effects with Continuous and Discrete Covariates: The Case of Swan-Ganz Catheterization (pp. 357-62) Qi Li, Jeffrey S. Racine and Jeffrey M. Wooldridge |
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Gender Differences in Careers, Education, and Games
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Transitions: Career and Family Life Cycles of the Educational Elite (pp. 363-69) Claudia Goldin and Lawrence F. Katz |
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Exploring the Impact of Financial Incentives on Stereotype Threat: Evidence from a Pilot Study (pp. 370-75) Roland G. Fryer, Steven D. Levitt and John A. List |
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Do Women Supply More Public Goods Than Men? Preliminary Experimental Evidence from Matrilineal and Patriarchal Societies (pp. 376-81) Steffen Andersen, Erwin Bulte, Uri Gneezy and John A. List |
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Macroeconomic Factors Affecting Poverty and Income Distribution among African Americans
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African American and White Differences in the Impacts of Monetary Policy on the Duration of Unemployment (pp. 382-86) William M. Rodgers |
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The Changing Incidence and Severity of Poverty Spells among Female-Headed Families (pp. 387-91) David Card and Rebecca M. Blank |
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Poverty Volatility and Macroeconomic Quiescence (pp. 392-97) Philip N. Jefferson |
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Non-white Poverty and Macroeconomy: The Impact of Growth (pp. 398-402) Gary A. Hoover, Walter Enders and Donald G. Freeman |
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Women, Finances, and Children
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Understanding the Returns to Delayed Childbearing for Working Women (pp. 403-07) Kasey Buckles |
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The Effect of Children (pp. 408-12) Kristin Mammen |
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Planning and Financial Literacy: How Do Women Fare? (pp. 413-17) Annamaria Lusardi and Olivia S. Mitchell |
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Who Chooses Annuities? An Experimental Investigation of the Role of Gender, Framing, and Defaults (pp. 418-22) Julie R. Agnew, Lisa R. Anderson, Jeffrey R. Gerlach and Lisa R. Szykman |
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Sources of International Price Stickiness
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A Structural Approach to Explaining Incomplete Exchange-Rate Pass-Through and Pricing-to-Market (pp. 423-29) Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg and Rebecca Hellerstein |
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Pass-Through in Retail and Wholesale (pp. 430-37) Emi Nakamura |
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Welfare Costs of Inflation in a Menu Cost Model (pp. 438-43) Ariel Burstein and Christian Hellwig |
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Firm Heterogeneity and International Trade
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Endogenous Variety and the Gains from Trade (pp. 444-50) Costas Arkolakis, Svetlana Demidova, Peter J. Klenow and Andres Rodriguez-Clare |
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R&D Investments, Exporting, and the Evolution of Firm Productivity (pp. 451-56) Bee Yan Aw, Mark J. Roberts and Daniel Yi Xu |
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Firm-Level Heterogeneous Productivity and Demand Shocks: Evidence from Bangladesh (pp. 457-62) Hiau Looi Kee and Kala Krishna |
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Height, Health, and Economic Development
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Height, Health, and Cognitive Function at Older Ages (pp. 463-67) Anne Case and Christina Paxson |
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Height, Health, and Inequality: The Distribution of Adult Heights in India (pp. 468-74) Angus Deaton |
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Height and Economic Development in Italy, 1730-1980 (pp. 475-81) Franco Peracchi |
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Psychology and Development: Theory and Experimental Evidence
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How High Are Rates of Return to Fertilizer? Evidence from Field Experiments in Kenya (pp. 482-88) Esther Duflo, Michael Kremer and Jonathan Robinson |
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Limited Attention and Income Distribution (pp. 489-93) Abhijit V. Banerjee and Sendhil Mullainathan |
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Spite and Development (pp. 494-99) Ernst Fehr, Karla Hoff and Mayuresh Kshetramade |
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New Research in Development Economics: Marriage, Motherhood, and Conflict
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Motherhood and Female Labor Force Participation: Evidence from Infertility Shocks (pp. 500-504) Jorge M. Aguero and Mindy S. Marks |
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Segregation, Rent Control, and Riots: The Economics of Religious Conflict in an Indian City (pp. 505-10) Erica Field, Matthew Levinson, Rohini Pande and Sujata Visaria |
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Stress and Birth Weight: Evidence from Terrorist Attacks (pp. 511-15) Adriana Camacho |
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Prostitutes and Brides? (pp. 516-22) Raj Arunachalam and Manisha Shah |
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New Comparative Economic History
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Made in America? The New World, the Old, and the Industrial Revolution (pp. 523-28) Gregory Clark, Kevin H. O'Rourke and Alan M. Taylor |
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Trade Costs, 1870-2000 (pp. 529-34) David S. Jacks, Christopher M. Meissner and Dennis Novy |
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A Century of Global Equity Market Correlations (pp. 535-40) Dennis P. Quinn and Hans-Joachim Voth |
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Assessment of Economics in US High Schools and Undergraduate Programs
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The National Assessment of Educational Progress in Economics: Findings for General Economics (pp. 541-46) William B. Walstad and Stephen Buckles |
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The Test of Understanding of College Economics (pp. 547-51) William B. Walstad and Ken Rebeck |
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Assessment Practices and Trends in Undergraduate Economics Courses (pp. 552-56) Georg Schaur, Michael Watts and William E. Becker |
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Awards
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Susan C. Athey: John Bates Clark Medalist 2007 (pp. 559-60) Georg Schaur, Michael Watts and William E. Becker |
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Reports
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Minutes of the Annual Meeting: New Orleans, LA, January 5, 2008 (pp. 561-62) John J. Siegfried |
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Minutes of the Executive Committee Meetings (pp. 563-72) John J. Siegfried |
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Report of the Secretary for 2007 (pp. 573-76) John J. Siegfried |
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Report of the Treasurer (pp. 577-80) John J. Siegfried |
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Report of the Editor: American Economic Review (pp. 581-90) Robert A. Moffitt |
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Report of the Editor: Journal of Economic Literature (pp. 591-93) Roger Gordon |
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Report of the Editor: Journal of Economic Perspectives (pp. 594-95) Andrei Shleifer |
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Report of the Editor: American Economic Journal: Applied Economics (pp. 596-98) Esther Duflo |
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Report of the Editor: American Economic Journal: Economic Policy (pp. 599-600) Alan J. Auerbach |
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Report of the Editor: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics (pp. 601-02) Olivier Blanchard |
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Report of the Editor: American Economic Journal: Microeconomics (pp. 603-04) Andrew Postlewaite |
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Report of the Director: Job Openings for Economists (pp. 605-07) John J. Siegfried |
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Report of the Committee on Economic Education (pp. 608-10) Michael Watts |
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Report of the Committee on the Status of Women in the Economics Profession 2007 (pp. 611-18) Lisa M. Lynch |
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Report on the Committee on the Status of Minority Groups in the Economics Profession (pp. 619-27) Cecilia Rouse |
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Report of the Committee on Economic Statistics (pp. 628-28) Katharine Abraham |
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Report of the Search Committee for the Editor of the Journal of Economic Perspectives (pp. 629-29) Rebecca Blank |
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American Economic Association Universal Academic Questionnaire Summary Statistics (pp. 630-33) Charles E. Scott and John J. Siegfried |
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