Journal of Economic Perspectives: Vol. 14 No. 3 (Summer 2000)
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Reassessing Discretionary Fiscal Policy
Taylor, John B. 2000. "Reassessing Discretionary Fiscal Policy." Journal of Economic Perspectives, 14(3): 21-36.
Recent changes in policy research and in policy-making call for a reassessment of countercyclical fiscal policy. Such a reassessment indicates that countercyclical fiscal policy should focus on automatic stabilizers rather than discretionary actions. Monetary policy has been reacting more systematically to output and inflation; long expansions in the 1980s and 1990s demonstrate policy effectiveness. It is unlikely that discretionary countercyclical fiscal policy could improve things, even with less uncertainty about fiscal impacts. A discretionary countercyclical fiscal policy could make monetary policy making more difficult. Discretionary fiscal policy should focus on long-run issues, such as tax reform and social security reform.
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Taylor, John B. (Stanford U)
E62: Fiscal Policy
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