This setting lets you change the way you view articles. You can choose to have articles open in a dialog window, a new tab, or directly in the same window.
Open in Dialog
Open in New Tab
Open in same window
Open in New Tab
Open in same window
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics: Vol. 3 No. 4 (October 2011)
AEJ: Applied Volume. 3, Issue 4 | 
Previous ArticleNext Article
Sign up for Email Alerts Follow us on Twitter Subscription Information
(Institutional Administrator Access)
AEJ: Applied Forthcoming Articles
Full-text Article
Download Data Set (131.43 KB) | Online Appendix (242.44 KB)
View Comments on This Article (0) | Login to post a comment
Previous ArticleNext Article
Expand
Quick Tools:
Print Article Summary Email Link to this Article Export CitationSign up for Email Alerts Follow us on Twitter Subscription Information
(Institutional Administrator Access)
Explore:
AEJ: Applied Forthcoming Articles
Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: A Comment
Article Citation
Ciccone, Antonio. 2011. "Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: A Comment."
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics,
3(4): 215-27.
DOI: 10.1257/app.3.4.215
DOI: 10.1257/app.3.4.215
Abstract
Edward Miguel, Shanker Satyanath, and Ernest Sergenti (2004), henceforth MSS, argue that lower rainfall levels and negative rainfall shocks increase conflict risk in sub-Saharan Africa. This conclusion rests on their finding of a negative correlation between conflict in t and rainfall growth between t — 1 and t — 2. I show that this finding is driven by a (counterintuitive) positive correlation between conflict in t and rainfall levels in t — 2. If lower rainfall levels or negative rainfall shocks increased conflict, MSS's finding should have been due to a negative correlation between conflict in t and rainfall levels in t — 1. In the latest data, conflict is unrelated to rainfall. (JEL D74, E32, O11, O17, O47)
Article Full-Text Access
Full-text Article
Additional Materials
Download Data Set (131.43 KB) | Online Appendix (242.44 KB)
Authors
Ciccone, Antonio (ICREA, U Pompeu Fabra)
JEL Classifications
D74: Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances
E32: Business Fluctuations; Cycles
O11: Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
O17: Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
O47: Measurement of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
E32: Business Fluctuations; Cycles
O11: Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
O17: Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
O47: Measurement of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
Comments
View Comments on This Article (0) | Login to post a comment
