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American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics: Vol. 2 No. 4 (October 2010)

AEJ: Macro Volume. 2, Issue 4 | Previous ArticleNext Article

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Determinants of Economic Growth: Will Data Tell?

Article Citation

Ciccone, Antonio, and Marek Jarociński. 2010. "Determinants of Economic Growth: Will Data Tell?." American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2(4): 222-46.

DOI: 10.1257/mac.2.4.222

Abstract

Many factors inhibiting and facilitating economic growth have been suggested. Can agnostics rely on international income data to tell them which matter? We find that agnostic priors lead to conclusions that are sensitive to differences across available income estimates. For example, the PWT 6.2 revision of the 1960-1996 income estimates in the PWT 6.1 leads to substantial changes regarding the role of government, international trade, demography, and geography. We conclude that margins of error in international income estimates appear too large for agnostic growth empirics. (JEL O41, O47)

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Authors

Ciccone, Antonio (ICREA, U Pompeu Fabra)
Jarociński, Marek (European Central Bank)

JEL Classifications

O41: One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
O47: Measurement of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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