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Journal of Economic Perspectives: Vol. 26 No. 3 (Summer 2012)
JEP Volume. 26, Issue 3 |
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The New Demographic Transition: Most Gains in Life Expectancy Now Realized Late in Life
Article Citation
Eggleston, Karen N., and
Victor R. Fuchs. 2012. "The New Demographic Transition: Most Gains in Life Expectancy Now Realized Late in Life."
Journal of Economic Perspectives,
26(3): 137-56.
DOI: 10.1257/jep.26.3.137
DOI: 10.1257/jep.26.3.137
Abstract
The share of increases in life expectancy realized after age 65 was only about 20 percent at the beginning of the 20th century for the United States and 16 other countries at comparable stages of development; but that share was close to 80 percent by the dawn of the 21st century, and is almost certainly approaching 100 percent asymptotically. This new demographic transition portends a diminished survival effect on working life. For high-income countries at the forefront of the longevity transition, expected lifetime labor force participation as a percent of life expectancy is declining. Innovative policies are needed if societies wish to preserve a positive relationship running from increasing longevity to greater prosperity.
Article Full-Text Access
Full-text Article (Complimentary)
Additional Materials
Online Appendix (694.93 KB)
Authors
Eggleston, Karen N. (Stanford U)
Fuchs, Victor R. (Stanford U)
Fuchs, Victor R. (Stanford U)
JEL Classifications
J11: Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
J14: Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-labor Market Discrimination
J14: Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-labor Market Discrimination
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