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AER - Previous Issues

AER - September 2009

American Economic Review

Vol. 99, No. 4, September 2009


Monetary Policy Analysis with Potentially Misspecified Models
Marco Del Negro and Frank Schorfheide

Article Citation
Del Negro, Marco, and Frank Schorfheide. 2009. "Monetary Policy Analysis with Potentially Misspecified Models." American Economic Review, 99(4): 1415–50.
DOI:10.1257/aer.99.4.1415

Abstract
Policy analysis with potentially misspecified dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models faces two challenges: estimation of parameters that are relevant for policy trade-offs, and treatment of the deviations from the cross-equation restrictions. Using post-1982 US data, we study the robustness of the policy prescriptions from a state-of-the-art DSGE model with respect to two approaches to model misspecification pursued in the recent literature: (i) adding shocks to the DSGE model and/or generalizing the processes followed by these shocks; and (ii) explicit modeling of deviations from cross-equation restrictions (DSGE-VAR). (JEL C51, E13, E43, E52, E58)

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Authors
Del Negro, Marco (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)
Schorfheide, Frank (U PA)

JEL Classifications
C51: Model Construction and Estimation
E13: General Aggregative Models: Neoclassical
E43: Determination of Interest Rates; Term Structure of Interest Rates
E52: Monetary Policy
E58: Central Banks and Their Policies