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AER - March 2008

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American Economic Review

Vol. 98, No. 1, March 2008


On the Empirical Content of Quantal Response Equilibrium
Philip A. Haile, Ali Hortaçsu and Grigory Kosenok

Article Citation
Haile, Philip A., Ali Hortaçsu, and Grigory Kosenok. 2008. "On the Empirical Content of Quantal Response Equilibrium." American Economic Review, 98(1): 180–200.
DOI:10.1257/aer.98.1.180

Abstract
The quantal response equilibrium (QRE) notion of Richard D. McKelvey and Thomas R. Palfrey (1995) has recently attracted considerable attention, due in part to its widely documented ability to rationalize observed behavior in games played by experimental subjects. However, even with strong a priori restrictions on unobservables, QRE imposes no falsifiable restrictions: it can rationalize any distribution of behavior in any normal form game. After demonstrating this, we discuss several approaches to testing QRE under additional maintained assumptions. (JEL C72, D84)

Article Full-Text Access
Full-Text Article

Authors
Haile, Philip A. (Yale U)
Hortaçsu, Ali (U Chicago)
Kosenok, Grigory (New Economic School, Moscow)

JEL Classifications
C72: Noncooperative Games
D84: Expectations; Speculations