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American Economic Review: Vol. 97 No. 1 (March 2007)
AER Volume. 97, Issue 1 |
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The Cross Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk
Article Citation
Lustig, Hanno, and
Adrien Verdelhan. 2007. "The Cross Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk."
American Economic Review,
97(1): 89-117.
DOI: 10.1257/aer.97.1.89
DOI: 10.1257/aer.97.1.89
Abstract
Aggregate consumption growth risk explains why low interest rate currencies do not
appreciate as much as the interest rate differential and why high interest rate
currencies do not depreciate as much as the interest rate differential. Domestic
investors earn negative excess returns on low interest rate currency portfolios and
positive excess returns on high interest rate currency portfolios. Because high
interest rate currencies depreciate on average when domestic consumption growth
is low and low interest rate currencies appreciate under the same conditions, low
interest rate currencies provide domestic investors with a hedge against domestic
aggregate consumption growth risk. (JEL E21, E43, F31, G11)
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Authors
Lustig, Hanno
Verdelhan, Adrien
Verdelhan, Adrien

