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American Economic Review: Vol. 104 No. 5 (May 2014)

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The Declining Fortunes of the Young since 2000

Article Citation

Beaudry, Paul, David A. Green, and Benjamin M. Sand. 2014. "The Declining Fortunes of the Young since 2000." American Economic Review, 104(5): 381-86.

DOI: 10.1257/aer.104.5.381

Abstract

We document that successive cohorts of college and post-college degree graduates experienced an increase in the probability of obtaining cognitive jobs both at the start of their careers and with time in the labor market in the 1990s. However, this pattern reversed for cohorts entering after 2000; profiles of the proportion of a cohort in cognitive occupations since school completion fall and become flatter with successive cohorts. Since cohort-wage profiles display a similar pattern, these findings appear to fit with a strong increase in demand for cognitive tasks in the 1990s followed by a decline in the 2000s.

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Authors

Beaudry, Paul (U British Columbia)
Green, David A. (U British Columbia and IFS, London)
Sand, Benjamin M. (York U, Toronto)

JEL Classifications

J13: Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
J24: Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity


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