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American Economic Review: Vol. 100 No. 2 (May 2010)
Front Matter (page i)
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Editors' Introduction (page x)
William R. Johnson and
Samantha Bennett
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Foreword (pp. xi-xii)
Robert E. Hall
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Papers
Richard T. Ely Lecture
Computer Mediated Transactions (pp. 1-10)
Hal R. Varian
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Revisiting and Rethinking the Business Cycle
Okun's Law and Productivity Innovations (pp. 11-15)
Robert J. Gordon
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Indicators for Dating Business Cycles: Cross-History Selection and Comparisons (pp. 16-19)
James H. Stock and
Mark W. Watson
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Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions (pp. 20-24)
S. Borağan Aruoba and
Francis X. Diebold
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The Business Cycle in a Changing Economy: Conceptualization, Measurement, Dating (pp. 25-29)
Allen Sinai
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Understanding the Impact of Fiscal Policy
Some Fiscal Calculus (pp. 30-34)
Harald Uhlig
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Fiscal Policy in a Model with Financial Frictions (pp. 35-40)
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
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Debt Consolidation and Fiscal Stabilization of Deep Recessions (pp. 41-45)
Giancarlo Corsetti,
Keith Kuester,
André Meier and
Gernot J. Müller
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Banking and Securitization
Asset Fire Sales and Credit Easing (pp. 46-50)
Andrei Shleifer and
Robert W. Vishny
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The Great Recession: Lessons from Microeconomic Data (pp. 51-56)
Atif Mian and
Amir Sufi
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Loan Syndication and Credit Cycles (pp. 57-61)
Victoria Ivashina and
David Scharfstein
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Economic Growth and Open-Economy Macroeconomics
Growth, Size, and Openness: A Quantitative Approach (pp. 62-67)
Natalia Ramondo and
Andrés Rodríguez-Clare
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Full-text Article | Online Appendix (80.94 KB)
Capital Flows and Macroeconomic Performance: Lessons from the Golden Era of International Finance (pp. 68-72)
Lee E. Ohanian and
Mark L. J. Wright
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The Marginal Product of Capital, Capital Flows, and Convergence (pp. 73-77)
Sirsha Chatterjee and
Kanda Naknoi
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The Quantitative Role of Capital Goods Imports in US Growth (pp. 78-82)
Michele Cavallo and
Anthony Landry
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Growth in a Partially De-Globalized World
Political Limits to Globalization (pp. 83-88)
Daron Acemoglu and
Pierre Yared
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Making Room for China in the World Economy (pp. 89-93)
Dani Rodrik
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What Parts of Globalization Matter for Catch-Up Growth? (pp. 94-98)
Paul M. Romer
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Measuring Intangible Capital
How Do You Measure a 'Technological Revolution'? (pp. 99-104)
Carol A. Corrado and
Charles R. Hulten
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New Approaches to Surveying Organizations (pp. 105-09)
Nicholas Bloom and
John Van Reenen
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Artistic Originals as a Capital Asset (pp. 110-14)
Rachel Soloveichik
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Institutions and Development
Institutions, Factor Prices, and Taxation: Virtues of Strong States? (pp. 115-19)
Daron Acemoglu
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Coping with Political Instability: Micro Evidence from Kenya's 2007 Election Crisis (pp. 120-24)
Pascaline Dupas and
Jonathan Robinson
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Do Traditional Institutions Constrain Female Entrepreneurship? A Field Experiment on Business Training in India (pp. 125-29)
Erica Field,
Seema Jayachandran and
Rohini Pande
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Creating Property Rights: Land Banks in Ghana (pp. 130-34)
Ernest Aryeetey and
Christopher Udry
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Development, Culture, and Institutions
Cultural and Institutional Bifurcation: China and Europe Compared (pp. 135-40)
Avner Greif and
Guido Tabellini
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Equilibrium Fictions: A Cognitive Approach to Societal Rigidity (pp. 141-46)
Karla Hoff and
Joseph E. Stiglitz
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Religious Conversion in Colonial Africa (pp. 147-52)
Nathan Nunn
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Innovation and Open Science
The Public and Private Sectors in the Process of Innovation: Theory and Evidence from the Mouse Genetics Revolution (pp. 153-58)
Philippe Aghion,
Mathias Dewatripont,
Julian Kolev,
Fiona Murray and
Scott Stern
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Network Effects in Biology R&D (pp. 159-64)
Joachim Henkel and
Stephen M. Maurer
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Openness, Open Source, and the Veil of Ignorance (pp. 165-71)
Suzanne Scotchmer
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Agriculture and Energy: New Direct and Indirect Links Can Lead to Unintended Consequences
Economywide Implications from US Bioenergy Expansion (pp. 172-77)
Mark Gehlhar,
Agapi Somwaru,
Peter B. Dixon,
Maureen T. Rimmer and
Ashley R. Winston
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Ethanol Policy Effects on U.S. Natural Gas Prices and Quantities (pp. 178-82)
Jarrett Whistance,
Wyatt W. Thompson and
Seth D. Meyer
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Are Biofuels the Culprit? OPEC, Food, and Fuel (pp. 183-87)
Gal Hochman,
Deepak Rajagopal and
David Zilberman
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Human Capital, Health Outcomes, and Inequality
The Health Returns of Education Policies from Preschool to High School and Beyond (pp. 188-94)
Rucker C. Johnson
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Family Health, Children's Own Health, and Test Score Gaps (pp. 195-99)
Rodney J. Andrews and
Trevon D. Logan
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Time Preference, Noncognitive Skills and Well Being across the Life Course: Do Noncognitive Skills Encourage Healthy Behavior? (pp. 200-204)
Ngina Chiteji
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Adult Child Migration and the Health of Elderly Parents Left behind in Mexico (pp. 205-08)
Francisca M. Antman
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Human Capital, Work, and Outcomes
Investment in General Human Capital and Turnover Intention (pp. 209-13)
Colleen Flaherty Manchester
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Applicant Screening and Performance-Related Outcomes (pp. 214-18)
Fali Huang and
Peter Cappelli
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Stop the Clock Policies and Career Success in Academia (pp. 219-23)
Colleen Flaherty Manchester,
Lisa M. Leslie and
Amit Kramer
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Low Skilled Immigration and Work-Fertility Tradeoffs among High Skilled US Natives (pp. 224-28)
Delia Furtado and
Heinrich Hock
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New Directions in the Economic Analysis of Human Capital
The Market for College Graduates and the Worldwide Boom in Higher Education of Women (pp. 229-33)
Gary S. Becker,
William H. J. Hubbard and
Kevin M. Murphy
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The Education-Health Gradient (pp. 234-38)
Gabriella Conti,
James Heckman and
Sergio Urzua
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Inputs and Impacts in Charter Schools: KIPP Lynn (pp. 239-43)
Joshua D. Angrist,
Susan M. Dynarski,
Thomas J. Kane,
Parag A. Pathak and
Christopher R. Walters
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Human Capital and Imperfectly Informed Financial Markets (pp. 244-49)
Isaac Ehrlich and
Jong Kook Shin
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Implicit Measurement of Teacher Quality
Using Performance on the Job to Inform Teacher Tenure Decisions (pp. 250-55)
Dan Goldhaber and
Michael Hansen
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Using Student Performance Data to Identify Effective Classroom Practices (pp. 256-60)
John H. Tyler,
Eric S. Taylor,
Thomas J. Kane and
Amy L. Wooten
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Subjective and Objective Evaluations of Teacher Effectiveness (pp. 261-66)
Jonah E. Rockoff and
Cecilia Speroni
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Generalizations about Using Value-Added Measures of Teacher Quality (pp. 267-71)
Eric A. Hanushek and
Steven G. Rivkin
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Research in Economic Education
Achievement Goals, Locus of Control, and Academic Success in Economics (pp. 272-76)
Lester Hadsell
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The Effectiveness of Peer Tutoring on Student Achievement at the University Level (pp. 277-82)
Vincent G. Munley,
Eoghan Garvey and
Michael J. McConnell
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Full-text Article | Download Data Set (293.39 KB) | Online Appendix (68.55 KB)
Do Online Homework Tools Improve Student Results in Principles of Microeconomics Courses? (pp. 283-86)
William Lee,
Richard H. Courtney and
Steven J. Balassi
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The Efficacy of Collaborative Learning Recitation Sessions on Student Outcomes (pp. 287-91)
Kim P. Huynh,
David T. Jacho-Chávez and
James K. Self
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The Massachusetts Health Insurance Experiment: Early Experiences
How Sensitive Are Low Income Families to Health Plan Prices? (pp. 292-96)
David Chan and
Jonathan Gruber
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Disentangling the Effects of Health Reform in Massachusetts: How Important Are the Special Provisions for Young Adults? (pp. 297-302)
Sharon K. Long,
Alshadye Yemane and
Karen Stockley
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Patient Cost Sharing in Low Income Populations (pp. 303-08)
Amitabh Chandra,
Jonathan Gruber and
Robin McKnight
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Migration and The US Labor Market
Culture and Intraracial Wage Inequality among America's African Diaspora (pp. 309-15)
Patrick L. Mason
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Mexican Immigrant Employment Outcomes over the Business Cycle (pp. 316-20)
Pia M. Orrenius and
Madeline Zavodny
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The Effect of Migration on Wages: Evidence from a Natural Experiment (pp. 321-26)
Dakshina G. De Silva,
Robert P. McComb,
Young-Kyu Moh,
Anita R. Schiller and
Andres J. Vargas
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Equilibrium Consequences of Search on the Job
Directed Search on the Job, Heterogeneity, and Aggregate Fluctuations (pp. 327-32)
Guido Menzio and
Shouyong Shi
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Full-text Article | Online Appendix (69.67 KB)
Unemployment and Small Cap Returns: The Nexus (pp. 333-37)
Giuseppe Moscarini and
Fabien Postel-Vinay
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Wage Dispersion in the Search and Matching Model (pp. 338-42)
Dale T. Mortensen
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Job to Job Movements in a Simple Search Model (pp. 343-47)
Pietro Garibaldi and
Espen R. Moen
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Gender, Jobs, Success, and Placement
Can Mentoring Help Female Assistant Professors? Interim Results from a Randomized Trial (pp. 348-52)
Francine D. Blau,
Janet M. Currie,
Rachel T. A. Croson and
Donna K. Ginther
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Are There Gender Differences in the Job Mobility Patterns of Academic Economists? (pp. 353-57)
Christiana Hilmer and
Michael Hilmer
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Female Hires and the Success of Start-Up Firms (pp. 358-61)
Andrea Weber and
Christine Zulehner
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Gender Differences in Wealth at Retirement (pp. 362-67)
Urvi Neelakantan and
Yunhee Chang
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Housing and Labor Markets
Dynamic Asset Pricing in a System of Local Housing Markets (pp. 368-72)
Patrick Bayer,
Bryan Ellickson and
Paul B. Ellickson
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Local Multipliers (pp. 373-77)
Enrico Moretti
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Changes in Transportation Infrastructure and Commuting Patterns in US Metropolitan Areas, 1960-2000 (pp. 378-82)
Nathaniel Baum-Snow
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Place Based Policies, Heterogeneity, and Agglomeration (pp. 383-87)
Patrick Kline
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Capital Flows, Contagion, and Regulatory Responses
Risk and Global Economic Architecture: Why Full Financial Integration May Be Undesirable (pp. 388-92)
Joseph E. Stiglitz
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Decoupling and Recoupling (pp. 393-97)
Anton Korinek,
Agustin Roitman and
Carlos A. Végh
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Credit Externalities: Macroeconomic Effects and Policy Implications (pp. 398-402)
Javier Bianchi
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Excessive Volatility in Capital Flows: A Pigouvian Taxation Approach (pp. 403-07)
Olivier Jeanne and
Anton Korinek
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Intermediation in International Trade
Wholesalers and Retailers in US Trade (pp. 408-13)
Andrew B. Bernard,
J. Bradford Jensen,
Stephen J. Redding and
Peter K. Schott
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Imports 'Я' Us: Retail Chains as Platforms for Developing-Country Imports (pp. 414-18)
Emek Basker and
Pham Hoang Van
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Facts and Figures on Intermediated Trade (pp. 419-23)
Bernardo S. Blum,
Sebastian Claro and
Ignatius Horstmann
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Intermediation and Economic Integration (pp. 424-28)
Pol Antrás and
Arnaud Costinot
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Trade and the Internal Organization of Firms
Trading Favors within Chinese Business Groups (pp. 429-33)
Raymond Fisman and
Yongxiang Wang
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Does Product Market Competition Lead Firms to Decentralize? (pp. 434-38)
Nicholas Bloom,
Raffaella Sadun and
John Van Reenen
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Offshoring and Wage Inequality: Using Occupational Licensing as a Shifter of Offshoring Costs (pp. 439-43)
Chiara Criscuolo and
Luis Garicano
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Intrafirm Trade and Product Contractibility (pp. 444-48)
Andrew B. Bernard,
J. Bradford Jensen,
Stephen J. Redding and
Peter K. Schott
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Trade and Climate Change
Can Openness Mitigate the Effects of Weather Shocks? Evidence from India's Famine Era (pp. 449-53)
Robin Burgess and
Dave Donaldson
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Climate Shocks and Exports (pp. 454-59)
Benjamin F. Jones and
Benjamin A. Olken
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Oil Monopoly and the Climate (pp. 460-64)
John Hassler,
Per Krusell and
Conny Olovsson
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Trade and Carbon Taxes (pp. 465-69)
Joshua Elliott,
Ian Foster,
Samuel Kortum,
Todd Munson,
Fernando Pérez Cervantes and
David Weisbach
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Competition and Market Structure
'One Discriminatory Rent' or 'Double Jeopardy': Multicomponent Negotiation for New Car Purchases (pp. 470-74)
Meghan R. Busse and
Jorge M. Silva-Risso
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Full-text Article | Online Appendix (72.91 KB)
The Impact of Commissions on Home Sales in Greater Boston (pp. 475-79)
Panle Jia and
Parag A. Pathak
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Investigating Income Effects in Scanner Data: Do Gasoline Prices Affect Grocery Purchases? (pp. 480-84)
Dora Gicheva,
Justine Hastings and
Sofia Villas-Boas
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An Individual Health Plan Exchange: Which Employees Would Benefit and Why? (pp. 485-89)
Leemore Dafny,
Katherine Ho and
Mauricio Varela
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Full-text Article | Online Appendix (28.49 KB)
Mortgage Market and the Financial Crisis
What 'Triggers' Mortgage Default? (pp. 490-94)
Ronel Elul,
Nicholas S. Souleles,
Souphala Chomsisengphet,
Dennis Glennon and
Robert Hunt
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Learning to Cope: Voluntary Financial Education and Loan Performance during a Housing Crisis (pp. 495-500)
Sumit Agarwal,
Gene Amromin,
Itzhak Ben-David,
Souphala Chomsisengphet and
Douglas D. Evanoff
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Full-text Article | Online Appendix (16.99 KB)
Issuer Credit Quality and the Price of Asset Backed Securities (pp. 501-05)
Oliver Faltin-Traeger,
Kathleen W. Johnson and
Christopher Mayer
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Full-text Article | Online Appendix (122.23 KB)
Statistical Default Models and Incentives (pp. 506-10)
Uday Rajan,
Amit Seru and
Vikrant Vig
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Full-text Article | Online Appendix (57.53 KB)
Mortgages
Consumer Confusion in the Mortgage Market: Evidence of Less Than a Perfectly Transparent and Competitive Market (pp. 511-15)
Susan E. Woodward and
Robert E. Hall
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The Failure and Promise of Mandated Consumer Mortgage Disclosures: Evidence from Qualitative Interviews and a Controlled Experiment with Mortgage Borrowers (pp. 516-21)
James M. Lacko and
Janis K. Pappalardo
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Asset Pricing: New Risk Channels
Affine Disagreement and Asset Pricing (pp. 522-26)
Hui Chen,
Scott Joslin and
Ngoc-Khanh Tran
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The Short and Long Run Benefits of Financial Integration (pp. 527-31)
Riccardo Colacito and
Mariano M. Croce
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Growth Opportunities and Technology Shocks (pp. 532-36)
Leonid Kogan and
Dimitris Papanikolaou
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Confidence Risk and Asset Prices (pp. 537-41)
Ravi Bansal and
Ivan Shaliastovich
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Long Run Risks and Asset Markets
Long Run Risks, the Macroeconomy, and Asset Prices (pp. 542-46)
Ravi Bansal,
Dana Kiku and
Amir Yaron
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Long Run Risks, Credit Markets, and Financial Structure (pp. 547-51)
Harjoat S. Bhamra,
Lars-Alexander Kuehn and
Ilya A. Strebulaev
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Long Run Risk, the Wealth-Consumption Ratio, and the Temporal Pricing of Risk (pp. 552-56)
Ralph S. J. Koijen,
Hanno Lustig,
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and
Adrien Verdelhan
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Full-text Article | Online Appendix (250.30 KB)
An Equilibrium Term Structure Model with Recursive Preferences (pp. 557-61)
Anh Le and
Kenneth J. Singleton
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International Financial Markets
Global Interest Rates, Currency Returns, and the Real Value of the Dollar (pp. 562-67)
Charles Engel and
Kenneth D. West
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Estimation of De Facto Flexibility Parameter and Basket Weights in Evolving Exchange Rate Regimes (pp. 568-72)
Jeffrey Frankel and
Daniel Xie
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Growth in a Time of Debt (pp. 573-78)
Carmen M. Reinhart and
Kenneth S. Rogoff
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Demand and Supply for Government Bonds
Interest Rate Risk in Credit Markets (pp. 579-84)
Monika Piazzesi and
Martin Schneider
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Price Pressure in the Government Bond Market (pp. 585-90)
Robin Greenwood and
Dimitri Vayanos
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Repo Market Effects of the Term Securities Lending Facility (pp. 591-96)
Michael J. Fleming,
Warren B. Hrung and
Frank M. Keane
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Designing Online Advertising Markets
Optimal Auction Design and Equilibrium Selection in Sponsored Search Auctions (pp. 597-602)
Benjamin Edelman and
Michael Schwarz
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Full-text Article | Online Appendix (121.55 KB)
Online Advertising: Heterogeneity and Conflation in Market Design (pp. 603-07)
Jonathan Levin and
Paul Milgrom
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The Impact of Targeting Technology on Advertising Markets and Media Competition (pp. 608-13)
Susan Athey and
Joshua S. Gans
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Field Experiments in Firms
Wage Subsidies for Microenterprises (pp. 614-18)
Suresh de Mel,
David McKenzie and
Christopher Woodruff
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Why Do Firms in Developing Countries Have Low Productivity? (pp. 619-23)
Nicholas Bloom,
Aprajit Mahajan,
David McKenzie and
John Roberts
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Self-Control and the Development of Work Arrangements (pp. 624-28)
Supreet Kaur,
Michael Kremer and
Sendhil Mullainathan
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What Capital Is Missing in Developing Countries? (pp. 629-33)
Miriam Bruhn,
Dean Karlan and
Antoinette Schoar
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Proceedings
Minutes of the Annual Meeting
Minutes of the Annual Meeting: Atlanta, GA, January 4, 2010 (pp. 637-38)
John J. Siegfried
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Reports
Report of the Secretary for 2009 (pp. 639-42)
John J. Siegfried
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Report of the Treasurer (pp. 643-46)
John J. Siegfried
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American Economic Association Universal Academic Questionnaire Summary Statistics (pp. 647-50)
Charles E. Scott and
John J. Siegfried
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Minutes of the Meeting of the Executive Committee: Chicago, IL, April 24, 2009 (pp. 653-59)
John J. Siegfried
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Minutes of the Meeting of the Executive Committee: Atlanta, GA, January 2, 2010 (pp. 660-66)
John J. Siegfried
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Report of the Editor: American Economic Review (pp. 667-76)
Robert A. Moffitt
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Report of the Editor: Journal of Economic Literature (pp. 678-79)
Roger H. Gordon
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Report of the Editor: Journal of Economic Perspectives (pp. 680-81)
David Autor
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Report of the Editor: American Economic Journal: Applied Economics (pp. 682-84)
Esther Duflo
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Report of the Editor: American Economic Journal: Economic Policy (pp. 685-87)
Alan J. Auerbach
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Report of the Editor: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics (pp. 688-91)
Steven J. Davis
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Report of the Editor: American Economic Journal: Microeconomics (pp. 692-95)
Andrew Postlewaite
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Report of the Director: Job Openings for Economists (pp. 696-98)
John J. Siegfried
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Report of the Committee on Economic Education for 2009 (pp. 699-703)
Michael Watts
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Report of the Committee on the Status of Women in the Economics Profession 2009 (pp. 704-09)
Barbara M. Fraumeni
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Committee on the Status of Minority Groups in the Economics Profession: Report of Committee Activities for the 2009 Calendar Year (pp. 710-12)
Ngina Chiteji
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American Economic Association Committee on Statistics (AEAStat): Annual Report--2009 (pp. 713-14)
Matthew D. Shapiro
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Committee on Government Relations (pp. 715-17)
Katherine G. Abraham
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Report of the Ad Hoc Search Committee for the American Economic Review Editor (page 718)
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