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American Economic Review: Vol. 93 No. 1 (March 2003)

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Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle

Article Citation

Anderson, James E., and Eric van Wincoop. 2003. "Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle ." The American Economic Review, 93(1): 170-192.

DOI: 10.1257/000282803321455214

Abstract

Gravity equations have been widely used to infer trade flow effects of various institutional arrangements. We show that estimated gravity equations do not have a theoretical foundation. This implies both that estimation suffers from omitted variables bias and that comparative statics analysis is unfounded. We develop a method that (i) consistently and efficiently estimates a theoretical gravity equation and (ii) correctly calculates the comparative statics of trade frictions. We apply the method to solve the famous McCallum border puzzle. Applying our method, we find that national borders reduce trade between industrialized countries by moderate amounts of 20-50 percent.

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Authors

Anderson, James E.
van Wincoop, Eric


American Economic Review



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