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Note: The American Economic Association has posted Conference Papers presented at the 2005 ASSA Conference on the AEA Web site. Over 340 papers have been posted below, as received from the authors. See also: Search: AEA 2005 Meeting Papers

ANNUAL MEETING

AMERICAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION 

"EXPANDING THE FRONTIERS OF ECONOMICS"

Philadelphia, PA, January 7-9, 2005

Go to: January 7 | January 8 | January 9

Presidential Address:
MARTIN FELDSTEIN--Rethinking Social Insurance
(note: a shorter version of this paper will be given at the conference)

Friday, January 7, 2005

Jan. 7,  8:00 am
AEA

Economic Determinants of Child Obesity (H0, I0, J0)

 Presiding:  DIANE WHITMORE, University of Chicago

      JOHN CAWLEY, Cornell University and NBER, SARA MARKOWITZ, Rutgers University-Newark and NBER, and JOHN TAURAS, University of Illinois-Chicago and NBER--Body Weight, Cigarette Prices, Youth Access Laws and Adolescent Smoking Initiation

      PATRICIA ANDERSON, Dartmouth College, and KRISTIN BUTCHER, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago--Reading, Writing, and Raisinettes: Are School Finances Contributing to Children's Obesity?

      THOMAS DELIERE, Harvard University and University of Chicago, and HELEN LEVY, University of Michigan and University of Chicago--Food Expenditure, Home Production, and Material Well-Being of Single Mother Households in the 90s

      DIANE WHITMORE, University of Chicago--Do School Lunches Contribute to Childhood Obesity?

Discussants:     DAVID FIGLIO, University of Florida
DARREN LUBOTSKY, University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign
SARAH REBER, University of California-Berkeley
CHRISTOPHER CARPENTER, University of California-Irvine

Jan. 7,  8:00 am
AEA

Firm Compensation and Incentives (D0, J0, M0)

Presiding: To be announced.

      F. ASIS MARTINEZ-JEREZ, Harvard Business School, and PABLO CASAS-ARCE, University of Oxford--Relative Performance Compensation and Dynamic Incentives

      CINDY ZOGHI, Bureau of Labor Statistics, ALEC LEVENSON, and MICHAEL GIBBS, University of Chicago Why Are Jobs Designed the Way They Are?

      IMRAN RASUL, University of Chicago, ORIANA BANDIERA, London School of Economics, and IWAN BARANKAY--Relative and Absolute Incentives: Evidence on Worker Productivity

Jan. 7,  8:00 am
AEA

Using Experiments to Measure Cooperation, Charity, and Trust in the Field (C0, D0, H0, J0, L0, M0)

Presiding: STEPHEN BURKS, University of Minnesota-Morris

      ARMIN FALK, University of Bonn--Charitable Giving as a Gift Exchange: Evidence from a Field Experiment

      STEPHEN BURKS, University of Minnesota-Morris, JEFFREY CARPENTER, Middlebury College, and LORENZ GOETTE, University of Zurich--Performance Pay and the Erosion of Worker Cooperation: Field Experimental Evidence

      SIMON GÄCHTER, University of St. Gallen, and BENEDIKT HERRMANN, University of Göttingen--Norms of Cooperation and Punishment Among Urban and Rural Dwellers: Evidence from Field Experiments in Russia

      JUAN-CAMILO CARDENAS, Universidad de Los Andes CEDE--Bringing the Lab to the Field: More Than Changing Subjects

Discussants: LORENZ GOETTE, University of Zurich
COLIN F. CAMERER, California Institute of Technology
JEFFREY CARPENTER, Middlebury College
ERNST FEHR, University of Zurich

Jan. 7,  8:00 am
AEA

Small Business, Entrepreneurship and the Macroeconomy: Empirical Approach (C0, K0, L0, M0, O0)

Presiding: YING LOWREY, U.S. Small Business Administration

      YING LOWREY, U.S. Small Business Administration--Business Density, Entrepreneurship and Economic Well-Being

      APARNA MATHUR, University of Maryland--A Spatial Model of the Impact of Bankruptcy Law on Entrepreneurship

      STEVEN DAVIS, University of Chicago, JOHN HALTIWANGER, University of Maryland, and RON JARMIN, U.S. Bureau of the Census--The Role of Young and Small Businesses in Aggregate Productivity Growth

      MARIA MARSHALL and WHITNEY OLIVER, Purdue University--The Effects of Human, Financial, and Social Capital on the Entrepreneurial Process for Entrepreneurs in Indiana

Discussants: Presenters

Jan. 7,  8:00 am
AEA

Technology, Trade, and Foreign Direct Investment

Presiding: CATHERINE MANN, Institute for International Economics

      M. FUAT SENER, Union College--Intellectual Property Rights and Rent Protection in a North-South Product-Cycle Model

      MICHELLE CONNOLLY, Duke University, and DIEGO VALDERRAMA, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco--Implications of Intellectual Property Rights for Dynamics Gains from Trade

      JANE IHRIG, Federal Reserve Board--The Influence of Technology on Foreign Direct Investment

      BEATA SMARZYNSKA JAVORCIK, World Bank, KAMAL SAGGI, Southern Methodist University, and MARIANA SPATAREANU, World Bank--Does It Matter Where You Come From? Vertical Spillovers from Foreign Direct Investment the
Nationality of Investors

Discussants: POL ANTRAS, Harvard University
KEITH MASKUS, University of Colorado
JOSE LOPEZ RODRIGUEZ, University of A Coruna
STEPHEN YEAPLE, University of Pennsylvania

Jan. 7,  8:00 am
AEA

The Economics of Small Decisions (C0, D0)

Presiding: IDO EREV, Technion

      PAUL ROZIN, University of Pennsylvania--Human Food Selection

      GEORGE LOEWENSTEIN, Carnegie Mellon University--Vividness, Affect and Decision Making

      ERNAN HARUVY, University of Texas-Dallas--Two-Stage Prize Promotion Lotteries and the Timing of Prizes

      IDO EREV, Technion, ALVIN ROTH, Harvard Business School, and ROBERT SLONIM, Case Western Reserve University--The Value of Descriptive Models of Small Decisions

Jan. 7,  8:00 am
AEA

Asset Pricing Theory (D0, E0, G0)

Presiding: JUN PAN, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

      ANNE GRON, Northwestern University, BJORN JORGENSEN, Columbia University, and NICHOLAS POLSON, University of Chicago--Optimal Portfolio Choice and Stochastic Volatility

      MARKUS BRUNNERMEIER, Princeton University, and LASSE PEDERSEN, New York University--Funding Liquidity and Market Liquidity

      ARPAD ABRAHAM, Duke University, and EVA CARCELES-POVEDA, State University of New York-Stony Brook--Endogenous Trading Constraints with Incomplete Asset Markets

Discussants: JUN LIU, University of California-Los Angeles
DIMITRI VAYANOS, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
LEONID KOGAN, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Jan. 7,  8:00 am
AEA

International Evidence on the Impacts of Incentives in Schools (I2)

Presiding: CAROLINE HOXBY, Harvard University

      LORRAINE DEARDEN, CARL EMMERSON, CHRISTINE FRAYNE, and COSTAS MEGHIR, Institute for Fiscal Studies, United Kingdom--Can Education Subsidies stop School Drop-outs? An evaluation of Education Maintenance Allowances in England

      LUDGER WOESSMANN and THOMAS FUCHS, IFO/University of Munich--What Accounts for International Differences in Student Performance?

      ERIC HANUSHEK, Stanford University, DANIEL O'BRIEN, University of Texas-Dallas, and STEVEN RIVKIN, Amherst College--The Market for Teacher Quality

Discussants: SUSAN DYNARSKI, Harvard University
PETRA TODD, University of Pennsylvania
MICHAEL PODGURSKY, University of Missouri-Columbia

Jan. 7,  8:00 am
AEA

The Impact of the Media (D0, L0, G0)

Presiding: ULRIKE MALMENDIER, Stanford University

      ULRIKE MALMENDIER, Stanford University, and GEOFFREY TATE, University of Pennsylvania--Superstar CEOs

      SENDHIL MULLAINATHAN, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and ANDREI SHLEIFER, Harvard University--The Market for News

      STEFANO DELLAVIGNA, University of California-Berkeley, and JOSHUA POLLET, Harvard University--Strategic Release of Information on Friday: Evidence from Earnings Announcements

      DYCK ALEXANDER, Harvard University, and LUIGI ZINGALES, University of Chicago--The Media and Asset Prices

Discussants: ERIC ZITEWITZ, Stanford University
KENT DANIEL, Northwestern University
GUR HUBERMAN, Columbia Business School

Jan. 7,  8:00 am
AEA

Motives for Giving (C0)

Presiding: LISE VESTERLUND, University of Pittsburgh

      YUE (JEN) SHANG and RACHEL CROSON, Pennsylvania State University--Social Comparisons in Public Good Provision: Field Experiments from Public Radio

      YAN CHEN, XIN LI, and JEFF MACKIE MASON, University of Michigan--An Economic Model of User Rating in an Online
Recommender System

      CAGRI KUMRU and LISE VESTERLUND, University of Pittsburgh--The Effect of Status on Charitable Giving

      JOHN DUFFY, University of Pittsburgh--Maternal Certainty, Paternal Uncertainty, and Holiday Gift-Giving

Discussants: JOHN LIST, University of Maryland
AL SLIVINSKI, University of Western Ontario
CATHERINE ECKEL, Virginia Tech
TED BERGSTROM, University of California-Santa Barbara

Jan. 7,  8:00 am
AEA

The Economics of Social Conflict (D0, E0, F0, H0, K0, N0, O0)

Presiding: ERNESTO DAL BO, University of California-Berkeley

      HERSCHEL GROSSMAN and DANIEL MEJIA, Brown University--The War on Drugs

      EDWARD MIGUEL and GERARD ROLAND, University of California-Berkeley--Long-Run Economic Development Consequences of the Vietnam War

      ERNESTO DAL BO, University of California-Berkeley, and PEDRO DAL BO, Brown University--Workers, Warriors and Criminals: Social Conflict in General Equilibrium

Jan. 7, 8:00 am
AEA

Health, Education and Welfare--Poster Session  (I0)

Presiding: REBECCA BLANK, University of Michigan

      MARK W. SMITH, VA Palo Alto--Childhood Abuse and Welfare Use

      AUDRA BOWLUS, University of Western Ontario, and SHANNON SEITZ, Queen's University--Domestic Violence, Employment and Divorce

      REAGAN BAUGHMAN, University of New Hampshire--Racial Segregation and the Effectiveness of Expanding Public Health Insurance for Children

      BO MacINNIS, University of California-Berkeley--Are Environmental Toxins a Source of Health Shocks to Children? Evidence from Hispanic Children in the U.S.

      DAVID FRISVOLD, KATHRYN ANDERSON, and JAMES FOSTER, Vanderbilt University--Investing in Health: The Long-Term Impact of Head Start

      HSIN-YU TSENG, University of Chicago--Increases in Risk and the Demand for Insurance: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study

      JAMES SULLIVAN, University of Notre Dame--Welfare Reform and Vehicle Ownership: Do Asset Tests and Vehicle Exemptions Matter?

      JENNIFER FOSTER, University of South Australia, PETER ARCIDIACONO,  NATALIE GOODPASTER, and JOSH KINSLER, Duke University--Estimating Spillovers in the Classroom with Panel Data

      JENNIFER THACHER, EDWARD MOREY, and EDWARD CRAIGHEAD, University of Colorado-Boulder--Modeling and Estimating Preferences over Treatment Programs for Depression

      JOYDEEP ROY, Princeton University--Impact of School Finance Reform on Resource Equalization and Academic Performance: Evidence from Michigan

      MATZ DAHLBERG and KARIN EDMARK, Uppsala University, Sweden--Is There a "Race-to-the-Bottom" in the Setting of Welfare Benefit Levels? Evidence from a Policy Intervention

      MEENA SESHAMANI and KEVIN VOLPP, University of Pennsylvania--The Effect of Cuts in Medicare Reimbursement on Quality of Hospital Care

      PRAVEEN DHANKHAR, MAHMUD KHAN, and ILA ALAM, Tulane University--Threat of Malpractice Lawsuit, Physician Behavior and Health Outcomes: Implications for "Optimal" Threat Level

      RUCKER JOHNSON, University of Michigan--Racial Differences in Asthma Prevalence and Morbidity

      SILVIA PEZZINI, London School of Economics--The Effect of Women's Rights on Women's Welfare: Evidence from a Natural Experiment

Jan. 7,  8:00 am
AEA

International Trade and New Directions for Open Economy Macroeconomics (F0)

Presiding: FABIO GHIRONI, Boston College

      MARC MELITZ, Harvard University, and FABIO GHIRONI, Boston College--International Trade and Macroeconomic Dynamics with Heterogeneous Firms

      GIANCARLO CORSETTI, European University Institute, University of Rome III and CEPR, PHILIPPE MARTIN, University of Paris, CERAS, and CEPR, and PAOLO PESENTI, Federal Reserve Bank of New York--The Home Market Effect and the International Transmission Mechanism

      KIM RUHL, University of Texas--Solving the Elasticity Puzzle in International Economics

      PAUL BERGIN, University of California-Davis, and REUVEN GLICK, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco--Productivity and Tradability

Discussants: KEI-MU YI, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
CAROLINE BETTS, University of Southern California
KATHERYN RUSS, Johns Hopkins University
TIMOTHY KEHOE, University of Minnesota

Jan. 7,  8:00 am
AEA

Interactions Between Urban Housing and Labor Markets (R0, J0)

Presiding: DAVID NEUMARK, Public Policy Institute of California

      JUDITH HELLERSTEIN, University of Maryland, and DAVID NEUMARK, Public Policy Institute of California--Workplace Segregation in the United States: Race, Ethnicity, and Skill

      PATRICK BAYER, Yale University, and STEPHEN ROSS, University of Connecticut--Urban Unemployment and Residential Location Choice

      JEFFREY KLING, Princeton University, JEFFREY LIEBMAN, and LAWRENCE KATZ, Harvard University--Moving to Opportunity and Tranquility: Neighborhood Effects on Adult Economic Self-Sufficiency and Helath from a Randomized Housing Voucher Experiment

      ETIENNE WASMER, University of Quebec-Montreal--Housing Market Discrimination, Housing Regulations and Intermediaries

Discussants: JEFFREY ZAX, University of Colorado
AMY SCHWARTZ, New York University
PAUL JARGOWSKY, University of Texas-Dallas
STEPHEN RAPHAEL, Univeristy of California-Berkeley

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA

Financial Economics, Macroeconomics, and Econometrics: The Interface (C0)

Presiding:  FRANCIS X. DIEBOLD, University of Pennsylvania

      TORBEN G. ANDERSEN, Northwestern University, TIM BOLLERSLEV, Duke University, and FRANCIS X. DIEBOLD, University of Pennsylvania--A Framework for Exploring the Macroeconomic Determinants of Systematic Risk

      MARTIN D. EVANS, Georgetown University, and RICHARD K. LYONS, University of California-Berkeley--Meese-Rogoff Redux: Micro-Based Exchange Rate Forecasting

      FRANCIS X. DIEBOLD, University of Pennsylvania, MONIKA PIAZZESI, University of Chicago, and GLENN D. RUDEBUSCH, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco--Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics

Discussant: MICHAEL BRANDT, Duke University

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA

Social Networks (A0)

Presiding: MATTHEW JACKSON, California Institute of Technology

      FRANCIS BLOCH, University of Aix-Marseille, GARANCE GENICOT, Georgetown University, and DEBRAJ RAY, New York University--Informal Insurance in Social Networks

      JACOB GOEREE, ARNO RIEDL, and ALJAZ ULE, University of Amsterdam--In Search of Stars: Efficiency, Equity and the
Dynamics of Network Formation

      DEAN CORBAE, University of Texas, and JOHN DUFFY, University of Pittsburgh--Contagion: Experimental Evidence across Network Structures

      ANTONI CALVO-ARMENGOL, Autonoma University of Barcelona, and MATTHEW JACKSON, California Institute of Technology--Like Father, Like Son: The Role of Networks in Social and Economic Mobility

Discussants: RACHEL KRANTON, University of Maryland
GARY CHARNESS, University of California-Santa Barbara
DEBORAH MINEHART, University of Maryland
ALISON WATTS, Southern Illinois University-Carbondale

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA

The Effect of Social Security Reform on Economic Behavior and Well-Being (G0, H0, J0)

Presiding:  SYLVESTER SCHIEBER, Watson Wyatt Worldwide

      AMY REHDER HARRIS and JOHN SABELHAUS, Congressional Budget Office--Behavioral Effects of Social Security Reform in a Micro-Simulation with Life Cycle Agents

      JONATHAN GRUBER, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER, and GARY ENGELHARDT, Dartmouth College--Social Security and the Evolution of Elderly Poverty

      SHINICHI NISHIYAMA, Congressional Budget Office, and KENT SMETTERS, University of Pennsylvania and NBER--Does Privatizing Social Security Produce Efficiency Gains?

      MÅRTEN PALME, Stockholm University, PAUL SÖDERLIND, University of St. Gallen, and ANNIKA SUNDEN, National Social Insurance Board and Stockholm University--Investment Choice in the Swedish Premium Pension Plan

Discussants: OLIVIA MITCHELL, University of Pennsylvania
COURTNEY COILE, Wellesley College
PETER ORSZAG, Brookings Institution

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA

Cars, Gas, and Pollution Policies (D0, H0, L0, O0, Q0)

Presiding: MARGARET WALLS, Resources for the Future

      ANTONIO BENTO, University of California-Santa Barbara, LAWRENCE GOULDER, MARK JACOBSEN, EMERIC HENRY, Stanford University, and ROGER VAN HAEFEN, University of Arizona--Efficiency and Distributional Impacts of U.S. Policies to Reduce Automobile Pollution

      IAN PARRY, Resources for the Future--Is Pay-as-You-Drive Insurance a Better Way to Reduce Gasoline than Gasoline Taxes?

      SARAH WEST, Macalester College, and ROBERTON WILLIAMS, University of Texas-Austin--The Cost of Reducing Gasoline Consumption

      DON FULLERTON and LI GAN, University of Texas-Austin--Cost-Effective Policies to Reduce Vehicle Emissions

Discussants: KENNETH SMALL, University of California
AARON EDLIN, University of California-Berkeley
KAREN PALMER, Resources for the Future
CLIFFORD WINSTON, Brookings Institution

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA

The Future of Medicare (Lectures)

Presiding: JONATHAN SKINNER, Dartmouth College

      JOSEPH P. NEWHOUSE, Harvard University

      MARK McCLELLAN, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services

      ROBERT REISCHAUER, Urban Institute

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA

Industrial Organization--Poster Session (L0)

Presiding: ROBERT PORTER, Northwestern University

      ALEXANDER MATROS, University of Pittsburgh--Players with Fixed Resources in Elimination Tournaments

      TATIANA KORNIENKO, University of Stirling, UK, and ED HOPKINS, University of Edinburgh, UK--All Must Have Prizes? Tournaments, Matching and Inequality

      MATTHIEU WYART and JEAN-PHILIPPE BOUCHAUD--Self-referential Behavior, Overreaction and Conventions in Markets

      FLAVIO TOXVAERD, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, and ALEX GERSHKOV--Auctioneer Estimates and Credulous Buyers Revisited

      CHERYL LONG and TAKAO KATO, Colgate University--Executive Compensation, Firm Performance, and Corporate Governance in China: Evidence from Firms Listed in the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges

      CLAUDIA M. LANDEO and MAXIM NIKITIN, University of Alberta--Deterrence, Lawsuits, and Litigation Outcomes under
Court Errors

      DAN BERNHARDT, University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign, and NADIA MASSOUD--Endogenous ATM Networks and Pricing

      DAVID JUST, Cornell University, STEVEN WU, Ohio State University, and LARA PLATT, Cornell University--The Prevalence of Negative Incentives in Contracts and Non-Expected Utility

      EDWIN LAI, City University of Hong Kong, RAYMOND RIEZMAN, University of Iowa, and PING WANG, Vanderbilt University--Outsourcing of Innovation

      GIORDANO MION, CORE-UCL, and MIREN LAFOURCADE--Concentration, Spatial Clustering and the Size of Plants: Disentangling the Sources of Co-location Externalities

      HILARY SIGMAN, Rutgers University-New Brunswick--The Effects of Environmental Liability on Brownfield Redevelopment

      JASJIT SINGH, Harvard Business School--Collaborative Networks as Determinants of Knowledge Diffusion Patterns

      KAI SUELZLE, IFO Institute for Economic Research--Duopolistic Competition between Independent and Collaborative B2B Marketplaces

      PAUL LEIBY, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, JONATHAN RUBIN, University of Maine, and DAVID GREENE--Tradable Fuel Economy Credits for Cars and Light Trucks

      ROBERT OXOBY, University of Calgary, and COLETTE FRIEDRICH--Trust and the Structure of Incentives

      TOSHIAKI IIZUKA, Vanderbilt University--An Empirical Analysis of Planned Obsolescence

      TUNAY TUNCA and HAIM MENDELSON, Stanford University--Liquidity in Industrial Exchanges

      VICENTE PONS, WILLIAM N. GOETZMANN, Yale University, and S. ABRAHAM RAVID, Rutgers University-Newark--Soft Information, Hard Sell: The Role of Soft Information in the Pricing of Intellectual Property

      XINYU HUA, Northwestern University--Stategic Ex-ante Contracts: Rent Extraction and Opportunity Costs

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA

New Perspectives on Reputation and Debt (F0, N0)

Presiding: JONATHAN EATON, New York University

      V.V. CHARI and PATRICK KEHOE, University of Minnesota--Why Do Governments Issue So Much Short-Term External Debt?

      MARK WRIGHT, Stanford University--Coordinating Creditors in Reputation Models of Debt

      KENNETH ROGOFF, Harvard University, and JEREMY BULOW, Stanford University--Grants versus Loans for Development Banks

Discussants: ANDREW ATKESON, University of California
OLIVIER JEANNE, International Monetary Fund
MANUEL AMADOR, Stanford University

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA

A New Lens on the Labor Market: Using Longitudinal Matched Employer-Employee Data (J0, L0)

Presiding: JOHN HALTIWANGER, University of Maryland

      JOHN ABOWD, Cornell University and NBER, ROBERT CREECY, and KEVIN McKINNEY, U.S. Bureau of the Census--Who You Are vs. Where You Work: Using a Mixed-Effects Model to Decompose Wages

      FREDRIK ANDERSSON, Urban Institute, MATTHEW FREEDMAN, University of Maryland, JOHN HALTIWANGER, University of Maryland and NBER, JULIE LANE, National Science Foundation, KATHRYN SHAW, Stanford University and NBER--Earnings Profiles, Worker Turnover and Demand Shocks in the Software Industry

      SEBASTIEN DELARRE, INSEE, RICHARD DUHAUTOIS, INSEE-CREST, and FRANCIS KRAMARZ, INSEE-CREST, CEPR, and IZA--Networks of Mobility

      JOHN ABOWD, Cornell University, JOHN HALTIWANGER, University of Maryland and NBER, JULIA LANE, National Science Foundation, KEVIN McKINNEY, and KRISTIN SANDUSKY, U.S. Bureau of the Census--The Impact of Changing Technology on the Demand for Older Workers

Discussants: CHARLES BROWN, University of Michigan
TIMOTHY BRESNAHAN, Stanford University
PAUL LENGERMANN, University of Maryland

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA

New Developments in High School Economics (A2)

Presiding: MICHAEL WATTS, Purdue University

      ALAN KRUEGER, Princeton University--Using a Web-Based Questionnaire as an Aide for High School Economics Instruction

       DON R. LEET, California State University-Fresno, and JANE S. LOPUS, California State University-Hayward--A Review of High School Economics Textbooks

      STEPHEN BUCKLES, Vanderbilt University, and WILLIAM WALSTAD, University of Nebraska-Lincoln--The National Assessment of Educational Progress in Economics: Framework, Features, and Specifications

      WILLIAM WALSTAD, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, and MICHAEL WATTS, Purdue University--Research in Economic Education in the Schools: Findings and an Agenda

Discussants: RAE JEAN GOODMAN, U.S. Naval Academy
BONNIE MESZAROS, University of Delaware
GAIL HOYT, University of Kentucky
CLAIRE MELICAN, National Council on Economic Education

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA

Practical Market Design: Four Matches (C0)

Presiding: ALVIN ROTH , Harvard University

      PARAG PATHAK, ATILA ABDUKADIROGLU, Columbia University,  and ALVIN ROTH, Harvard University--The New York City High School Match

      ATILA ABDUKADIROGLU, Columbia University, PARAG PATHAK, ALVIN ROTH, Harvard University, and TAYFUN SONMEZ, Koc University and Harvard University--The Boston Public School Match

      MURIEL NIEDERLE, Stanford University, and ALVIN ROTH, Harvard University--Reconstituting a Gastroenterology Fellowship Match

      UTKU UNVER, Koc University, ALVIN ROTH, Harvard University, and TAYFUN SONMEZ, Koc University and Harvard University--A Kidney Exchange Clearinghouse in New England

Discussant: PAUL MILGROM, Stanford University

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA

New Approaches to Discrimination (J0)

Presiding: STEVEN D. LEVITT, University of Chicago and American Bar Foundation

      MARIANNE BERTRAND, University of Chicago, and SENDHIL MULLAINTHAN, Massachusetts Institute of Technology--Implicit Discrimination

      REBECCA BLANK, University of Michigan--Tracing the Economic Impact of Cumulative Discrimination

      GLENN LOURY, Boston University, and HANMING FANG, Yale University--‘Dysfunctional Identities’ Can Be Rational

      JOSEPH ALTONJI, Yale University--Employer Learning, Statistical Discrimination and Occupational Attainment

Discussants: DAN BLACK, Syracuse University
DAVID NEUMARK, Public Policy Institute of California and Michigan State University
SHELLY LUNDBERG, University of Washington
KERWIN CHARLES, University of Michigan

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA

Modeling and Interpreting Policy Actions (E0, C0, N0)

Presiding: PETER TINSLEY, George Washington University

      CHARLES L. EVANS and DAVID MARSHALL, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago--Identifying Fundamental Shocks Using Model-Based Measures

      SHARON KOZICKI, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, and PETER TINSLEY, George Washington University--Greenbook Natural Rates for Unemployment and Inflation

      WILLIAM A. BROCK and STEVEN N. DURLAUF, University of Wisconsin-Madison--Local Robustness Analysis: Theory and Application

      JOHN C. WILLIAMS, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco--Optimal Monetary Policy in a Model with Unobserved Time-Varying Parameters

Discussants: MARK WATSON, Princeton University
MARK GERTLER, New York University
LARS SVENSSON, Princeton University
NOAH WILLLIAMS, Princeton University

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA

Political Economics of Equity Markets (D0, G0)

Presiding: JEFFREY MILYO, University of Chicago

      RANDALL KROSZNER, University of Chicago, and THOMAS STRATMANN, George Mason University--Corporate Campaign Contributions, Repeat Giving, and the Rewards to Legislator Reputation

      SCOTT SMART, Indiana University, and JEFFREY MILYO, University of Chicago--Sex, Money and Power: Market Reaction to a Sudden Change in Political Leadership

      ERIC HELLAND, Claremont McKenna College--Reputational Penalties and the Merits of Class Action Securities Litigation

Discussants: JEFFREY MILYO, University of Chicago
ERIC HELLAND, Claremont McKenna College
RANDALL KROSZNER, University of Chicago

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA

Innovations of U.S. Commercial Policy: Economics of the New Regionalism (F0)

Presiding: ROBERT BALDWIN, University of Wisconsin

      AYHAN KOSE and ALESSANDRO REBUCCI, International Monetary Fund--How Do Regional Trade Agreements Affect Business Cycles? NAFTA and CAFTA

      SHERRY STEPHENSON, Organization of American States--The Free Trade Area of the Americas: How Deep an Integration in the Western Hemisphere?

      MICHAEL G. PLUMMER, Johns Hopkins University, and SEIJI NAYA, East-West Center--The Economics of the U.S. Enterprise for ASEAN Initiative

      MORDECHAI E. KREININ, Michigan State University, JORGE GONZALEZ, Trinity University, and Michael G. Plummer, John Hopkins University--International Price Effects of NAFTA

Discussants: RACHEL McCULLOCH, Brandeis University
RICHARD POMFRET, University of Adelaide
REID CLICK, George Washington University
L. ALAN WINTERS, World Bank

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA/ACES

Institutional Change in Transition and Development (D0, J0, P0, L0, O0)

Presiding: JAN SVEJNAR, University of Michigan

      GERARD ROLAND, University of California--Institutions and Entrepreneurship in Transition

      TITO BOERI, Bocconi University, and MARION MACIS, University of Chicago--Institutional Tradeoffs in the Transition

      LEORA KLAPPER, LUC LAEVEN, World Bank, and RAGHURAM RAJAN, International Monetary Fund--Institutions, Business Environment and Firm Entry

Discussants: STANLEY FISCHER, Citigroup
SIMON JOHNSON, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
JAN SVEJNAR, University of Michigan

Jan. 7, 10:15 am
AEA/SPM

NAFTA: Past, Present and Future (F2)

Presiding: DOMINICK SALVATORE, Fordham University

      AGUSTIN CARSTENS, International Monetary Fund--Mexico's Benefits and Costs from NAFTA

      JAMES DEAN, Simon Fraser University, and VIVEK H. DEHEJIA, Carleton University--The Social Dimensions of Globalization: NAFTA Ten Years On

      GEORGE VON FURSTENBERG, Indiana University--Mexico in NAFTA: Welfare-Benefit Dissipation Due to Lack of a Common Currency

      DOMINICK SALVATORE, Fordham University--NAFTA: Expectations versus Outcomes

      THOMAS WILLETT, Claremont Graduate University--What Exchange Rate Regimes for NAFTA?

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA

Novel Approaches to Welfare Economics and Measurement

Presiding: SABINA ALKIRE, Harvard University

      WIEBKE KUKLYS, Max Planck Institute for Research in Economic Systems, Jena, and  INGRID ROBEYNS, University of Amsterdam--Sen's Capability Approach to Welfare Economics

      PRASANTA PATTANAIK, University of California-Riverside--Dominance, Paternalism and Standard of Living Comparisons in the Framework of Functionings

      WULF GAERTNER, University of Osnabruck, and YONGSHENG XU, Georgia State University--Alternative Proposals to Measure the Standard of Living when its Development over Time Is Uncertain

      SABINA ALKIRE, Harvard University--Measuring the Freedom Aspects of Capabilities

Discussants: SUDHIR ANAND, University of Oxford
CATERINA RUGGERI-LADERCHI, World Bank
AMARTYA SEN, Harvard University

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA

Regulation and the High Cost of Housing

Presiding: ANITA SUMMERS, University of Pennsylvania

      JOHN M. QUIGLEY and STEVEN RAPHAEL, University of California-Berkeley--Local Land-Use Regulation and the High Price of Housing: California During the 1990s

      EDWARD L. GLAESER, Harvard University, and JOSEPH GYOURKO, University of Pennsylvania--Why Have Housing Prices Gone Up?

      RICHARD K. GREEN, George Washington University, STEPHEN MALPEZZI, University of Wisconsin, and STEPHAN K. MAYO, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy--Metropolitan-Specific Estimates of the Price Elasticity of Supply of Housing, and Their Sources

Discussants: EDGAR OLSEN, University of Virginia
CHRISTOPHER MAYER, University of Pennsylvania
MICHAEL SCHILL, New York University

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA

Neuroscientific Foundations of Economics

Presiding: ERNST FEHR, University of Zurich

      JONATHAN COHEN, Princeton University--The Vulcanization of the Human Brain: The Neural Bases of Cognition-Emotion Interactions in Decision

      TANIA SINGER, University College London--The Neuroeconomics of Mind Reading and Empathy

      ERNST FEHR and URS FISCHBACHER, University of Zurich--Neuroeconomic Foundations of Trust and Social Preferences: Initial Evidence

Discussants: DAVID LAIBSON, Harvard University
COLIN F. CAMERER, California Institute of Technology
KEVIN McCABE, George Mason University

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA

Poverty, Inequality and Conflict

Presiding: FRANCES STEWART, University of Oxford

      TILMAN BRUECK, German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin)--The Welfare Effects of Farm Household Activity Choices in Post-War Mozambique

      PHILIP VERWIMP, Catholic University of Leuven and Yale University--An Economic Profile of Peasant Perpetrators of Genocide: Micro-Level Evidence from Rwanda

      PATRICIA JUSTINO, University of Sussex--Redistribution and Civil Unrest

      FRANCES STEWART, University of Oxford--Policies towards Horizontal Inequalities in Post-Conflict Reconstruction

Discussants: STEFAN DERCON, University of Oxford
KLAUS DEININGER, World Bank
MACARTAN HUMPHREYS, Harvard University
CHRISTOPHER CRAMER, SOAS

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA

Institutions and International Economics

Presiding: T.N. SRINIVASAN, Yale University

      ROBERT F. OWEN, University of Nantes--Governance and Economic Integration: An Analytical Framework

      DARON ACEMOGLU, Massachusetts Institute of Technology--Globalization and Democracy

      HAMID MOHTADI, University of Wisconsin, and TERRY L. ROE, University of Minnesota--Trade, Information and Corruption: A Signaling Game

      LUIGI GUISO, University of Sassari, PAOLA SAPIENZA, Northwestern University, and LUIGI ZINGALES, University of Chicago--Cultural Biases in Economic Exchange

Discussants: TAMIM BAYOUMI, International Monetary Fund
BERNARD FRANCK, University of Caen
JEFFREY FRANKEL, Harvard University
SIMON JOHNSON, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA

Insurance Markets and Health Care

Presiding: JONATHAN GRUBER, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

      MICHAEL CHERNEW, University of Michigan, DAVID CUTLER, and PATRICIA KEENAN, Harvard University--Rising Premiums, Charity Care, and the Decline in Private Health Insurance

      KATHERINE BAICKER and AMITABH CHANDRA, Dartmouth College--The Consequences of the Growth of Health Insurance Premiums

      MARK PAULY, University of Pennsylvania--Effects of Insurance Coverage on Use of Care and Health Outcomes For Non-poor Young Women

      AMY FINKELSTEIN, Harvard University and NBER, KATHLEEN McGARRY, University of California-Los Angeles, and AMIR SUFI--Dynamic Inefficiencies in Insurance Markets: Evidence from Long-Term Care Insurance

Discussants: AMITABH CHANDRA, Dartmouth College
ELLEN MEARA, Harvard Medical School
HELEN LEVY, University of Chicago
DARIUS LAKDAWALLA, RAND Corporation

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA

Alcohol Taxation and Control

Presiding: PHILIP COOK, Duke University

      MICHAEL GROSSMAN, City University of New York, ROBERT KAESTNER, University of Illinois-Chicago, and SARA MARKOWITZ, Rutgers University-Newark--An Investigation of the Effects of Substance Use Policies on Youth Sexually Transmitted Diseases

      CHRISTOPHER CARPENTER, University of Michigan--Heavy Alcohol Use and Crime: Evidence from Underage Drunk Driving Laws

      DON KENKEL, Cornell University--Are Alcohol Tax Hikes Fully Passed through to Prices? Evidence from Alaska

      PHILIP COOK and FRANK SLOAN, Duke University--The Incidence and Fairness of Alcohol Excise Taxes

Discussants: ROSALIE PACULA, RAND Corporation
WILLARD MANNING, University of Chicago

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA

Antitrust in the New Economy (Lectures)

Presiding: DANIEL RUBINFELD, University of California-Berkeley
DENNIS CARLTON, University of Chicago
TIMOTHY BRESNAHAN, Stanford University
DANIEL RUBINFELD, University of California-Berkeley
ROBERT WILLIG, Princeton University

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA

Perspectives on Research and Teaching in Economics (A2)

Presiding: DANIEL S. HAMERMESH, University of Texas-Austin

      WILLIAM E. BECKER, JR., Indiana University, and PETER KENNEDY, Simon Fraser University--Does Teaching Enhance Research in Economics?

      WILLIAM WALSTAD and SAM ALLGOOD, University of Nebraska-Lincoln--Research and Teaching in Economics and Other Subjects: Findings from a National Survey of Faculty

      RONALD G. EHRENBERG, Cornell University--Involving Undergraduate Students in Research to Encourage Undertake PhD Study in Economics

Discussants: JOHN J. SIEGFRIED, Vanderbilt University
CECILIA ROUSE, Princeton University
DAVID COLANDER, Middlebury College

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA

On the 75th Anniversary of the Opportunity Cost Formulation of Comparative Advantage

Presiding: RONALD JONES, University of Rochester

      PAUL SAMUELSON, Massachusetts Institute of Technology--1925-1950 Elizabethan Age for Pure Trade Theory

      ALAN DEARDORFF, University of Michigan--How Robust is Comparative Advantage?

      DANIEL BERNHOFEN and JOHN BROWN, Clark University--Comparative Advantage: From Theory to Data

Discussants: RONALD JONES, University of Rochester
WILFRED ETHIER, University of Pennsylvania
PRAVIN KRISHNA, Brown University

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA

Social Interactions in Education

Presiding: DAVID FIGLIO, University of Florida

      TIM SASS and MARY BURKE, Florida State University--Classroom Peer Effects and Student Achievement

      DAVID FIGLIO, University of Florida--Boys Named Sue: Disruptive Children and Their Peers

      BRUCE SACERDOTE, Dartmouth College, and DAVID MARMAROS, Google.com--How Friendships Form

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA

What Drives Current Accounts in the World?

Presiding: FILIPPO DI MAURO, European Central Bank

      OLIVIER BLANCHARD, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and FRANCESCO GIAVAZZI, Universita Bocconi--The U.S. Current Account and the Dollar

      AART KRAAY, World Bank, and JAUME VENTURA, Universitat Pompeu Fabra--International Risk Sharing with Demand Shocks

      M. BUSSIERE, MARCEL FRATZSCHER, European Central Bank, and G. MUELLER, European University Institute, Florence--Current Account Dynamics in OECD and EU Acceding Countries: An Intertemporal Approach

      G.M. MILESI-FERRETTI, International Monetary Fund, and PHILIP LANE, Trinity College Dublin--Financial Globalization and Exchange Rates

Discussants: KENNETH ROGOFF, Harvard University
MAURICE OBSTFELD, University of California
PHILIP LANE, Trinity College Dublin
FRANCESCO GIAVAZZI, Universita Bocconi

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA

Dynamic Scoring

Presiding: JAMES POTERBA, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

      ROBERT CARROLL, U.S. Department of the Treasury--Taxpayer Behavior and Dynamic Responses to Tax Changes

      NICHOLAS BULL,  Joint Committee on Taxation, JOHN DIAMOND, James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy, TIMOTHY DOWD, and PAMELA MOOMAU Joint Committee on Taxation--The Role of Dynamic Scoring in the Federal Budget Process: Closing the Gap between Theory and Practice

      BENJAMIN PAGE, Congressional Budget Office--CBO's Analysis of the Macroeconomic Effects of the President's Budgets

      ALAN AUERBACH, University of California-Berkeley, and ERIC ENGEN, American Enterprise Institute--Dynamic Scoring: An Introduction to the Issues

Discussants: AUSTAN GOOLSBEE, University of Chicago
WILLIAM GALE, Brookings Institution
KENT SMETTERS, University of Pennsylvania
JAMES POTERBA, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Jan. 7, 2:30
AEA

Economic News and International Market Reaction

Presiding: LINDA GOLDBERG, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

      JOHN ROGERS, JON FAUST, and JOHN WRIGHT, Federal Reserve Board--The High-Frequency Response of Exchange Rates and Interest Rates to Macroeconomic Announcements

      LINDA GOLDBERG, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and MICHAEL KLEIN, Tufts University--Economic News, Inflation Expectations, and Policy Latitude for Central Banks

      CLARA VEGA, University of Rochester, and FRANCIS X. DIEBOLD, University of Pennsylvania, and TORBEN ANDERSEN, Northwestern University--Joint Real Time Price Discovery in Stock, Bond, and Foreign Exchange Markets

Discussants: RICHARD LYONS, University of California-Berkeley
GRACIELA KAMINSKY, George Washington University
MENZIE CHINN, University of Wisconsin-Madison

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA/AFE

International Corporate Governance

Presiding: LAURA T. STARKS, University of Texas

      CRAIG DOIDGE, University of Toronto, G. ANDREW KAROLYI, and RENE M. STULZ, Ohio State University--Why Do Countries Matter So Much for Governance?

      KOSE JOHN, LUBOMIR LITOV and BERNARD YEUNG, New York University--Corporate Governance and Managerial Risk Taking: Theory and Evidence

      MIHIR A. DESAI, ALEXANDER DYCK, Harvard University, and LUIGI ZINGALES, University of Chicago--Corporate Governance and Taxation

Discussants: B. ESPEN ECKBO, Dartmouth College
RANDALL MORCK, University of Alberta
LEMMA SENBET, University of Maryland

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA/CES

Returns to Schooling and Investment in Education in China's Economic Transition (P0, J0, H0)

Presiding: BELTON FLEISHER, Ohio State University

      DENNIS YANG, Virginia Tech--Determinants of Schooling Returns during Transition: Evidence from Chinese Cities

      BELTON FLEISHER, Ohio State University, HAIZHENG LI, Georgia Institute of Technology, and SHI LI, China Academy of Social Sciences--Sorting, Selection, and Transformation of the Return to College Education in China

      BELTON FLEISHER, Ohio State University, and XIAOJUN WANG, University of Hawaii--Semi-parametric Estimation of Returns to Schooling in China's Econonomic Transformation

      GREGORY CHOW, Princeton University, and YAN SHEN, Peking University--The Role of Private Funding in China's Education System

Discussants: JEFFERY ZAX, University of Colorado
BRUCE WEINBERG, Ohio State University
ZHIQIANG LIU, State University of New York-Buffalo
BARRY R. CHISWICK, University of Illinois-Chicago

Jan. 7, 2:30 pm
AEA/NAEFA

 The Andrew Brimmer Policy Forum: National Economic and Financial Policies for

Growth, Employment, and the Improvement of Equity 

Presiding: EDWARD J. KANE, Boston College

      ROGER W. FERGUSON, JR., Federal Reserve Board--U.S. Monetary Policy

      Speaker to be announced--Economic Policy Goals of the President

      ALLEN SINAI, Decision Economics, Inc.--Fiscal Policy and the Economy: Retrospect and Prospect

      ANDREW F. BRIMMER, Brimmer & Company and University of Massachusetts-Amherst--Prospects for a New Economic Policy Agenda

Discussants: DANIEL J.B. MITCHELL, University of California-Los Angeles
ALICE RIVLIN, Brookings Institution
GEORGE M. VON FURSTENBERG, Indiana University

Jan. 7, 4:45 pm
AEA

Richard T. Ely Lecture

Presiding: DANIEL McFADDEN, University of California-Berkeley
OLIVER WILLIAMSON, University of California-Berkeley--The Economics of Governance

Saturday, January 8, 2005

Jan. 8, 8:00 am
AEA

Economic Identity

Presiding: ALAN KIRMAN, Universite d'Aix-Marseille

      ROBERT SUGDEN, University of East Anglia--Identity as Responsibility

      GEORGE AKERLOF, University of California-Berkeley, and RACHEL KRANTON, University of Maryland--Identity, Work Incentives and Organizations

      ROLAND BENABOU, Princeton University, and JEAN TIROLE, University of Toulouse--A Cognitive Theory of Identity

      ALAN KIRMAN, Universite d'Aix-Marseille, and MIRIAM TESCHL, University of Cambridge--Does It Matter "Who" the Economic Agent Is?

Discussants: B. DOUGLAS BERNHEIM, Stanford University
JOHN B. DAVIS, Marquette University

Jan. 8, 8:00 am
AEA

Drugs for Developing Countries

 Presiding: HENRY GRABOWSKI, Duke University

      FREDERIC SCHERER, Harvard University--Patents and Third World Pharmaceutical Supply

      WILLIAM DOW, University of  California-Berkeley--Pharmaceutical Demand in Latin America

      ERNST BERNDT, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, RACHEL GLENNERSTER, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Poverty Action Lab, MICHAEL KREMER and JEAN LEE, Harvard University, RUTH LEVINE, Center for Global Development, GEORG WEIZSACKER, London School of Economics, and HEIDI WILLIAMS, National Bureau of Economic Research--Advanced Markets for a Malaria Vaccine: Estimating Costs and Effectiveness

      HENRY GRABOWSKI, DAVID RIDLEY, and JEFF MOE, Duke University--Developing Drugs for Developing Countries

Discussants: HANNAH KETTLER, Gates Foundation
MARGARET KYLE, Duke University
AMY FINKELSTEIN, National Bureau of Economic Research

Jan. 8, 8:00 am
AEA

Understanding the World Income Distribution

Presiding: MARLA RIPOLL, University of Pittsburgh

      MARLA RIPOLL, University of Pittsburgh, and JUAN-CARLOS CORDOBA, Rice University--Agriculutre, Aggregation, and Development Accounting

      THORSTEN BECK, ASLI DEMIRGUC-KUNT, World Bank, and ROSS LEVINE, University of Minnesota--Finance, Inequality, and Poverty: Cross-County Evidence

      STEPHEN PARENTE, University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign, and EDWARD PRESCOTT, Arizona State University and Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis--A Unified Theory of the Evolution of International Income Levels

      FRANCESCO CASELLI, Harvard University--The Missing Input: Accounting for Cross-Country Income Differences

Discussants: RICHARD ROGERSON, Arizona State University
DARON ACEMOGLU, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
DAVID WEIL, Brown University
JOHN DUFFY, University of Pittsburgh

Jan. 8, 8:00 am
AEA

Individual Differences/Styles in Expert and Creative Work: Empirical Evidence, Models, Implications

Presiding: JONATHAN FEINSTEIN, Yale University

      DAVID GALENSON, University of Chicago--A Portrait of the Artist as a Very Young or Very Old Innovator: Creativity at the Extremes of the Life Cycle

      MARIANNE BERTRAND, University of Chicago, and ANTOINETTE SCHOAR, Massachusetts Institute of Technology--Where Do