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Project Citation: 

Guidolin, Massimo, and La Ferrara, Eliana. Replication data for: Diamonds Are Forever, Wars Are Not: Is Conflict Bad for Private Firms? Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2007. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-12-07. https://doi.org/10.3886/E116299V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary This paper studies the relationship between civil war and the value of firms in a poor, resource-abundant country using microeconomic data for Angola. We focus on diamond mining firms and conduct an event study on the sudden end of the conflict, marked by the death of the rebel movement leader in 2002. We find that the stock market perceived this event as "bad news" rather than "good news" for companies holding concessions in Angola, as their abnormal returns declined by 4 percentage points. The event had no effect on a control portfolio of otherwise similar diamond mining companies. This finding is corroborated by other events and by the adoption of alternative methodologies. We interpret our findings in light of conflict-generated entry barriers, government bargaining power, and transparency in the licensing process. (JEL D74, G32, O13, O17, Q34)

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      D74 Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
      G32 Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
      O13 Economic Development: Agriculture; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Other Primary Products
      O17 Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
      Q34 Natural Resources and Domestic and International Conflicts


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