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Project Citation: 

Pindyck, Robert S., and Wang, Neng. Replication data for: The Economic and Policy Consequences of Catastrophes. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2013. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-13. https://doi.org/10.3886/E114844V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary How likely is a catastrophic event that would substantially reduce the capital stock, GDP, and wealth? How much should society be willing to pay to reduce the probability or impact of a catastrophe? We answer these questions and provide a framework for policy analysis using a general equilibrium model of production, capital accumulation, and household preferences. Calibrating the model to economic and financial data, we estimate the mean arrival rate of shocks and their size distribution, the tax on consumption society would accept to limit the maximum size of a catastrophic shock, and the cost to insure against its impact.

Scope of Project

JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      D81 Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
      E22 Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
      E23 Macroeconomics: Production
      E32 Business Fluctuations; Cycles
      G22 Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
      H25 Business Taxes and Subsidies including sales and value-added (VAT)
      Q54 Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming


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